Faculty of Social Sciences

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

THE SECOND CONFERENCE OF THE

EUROPEAN RESEARCH NETWORK ON DIVORCE

 

 

 

 

 

 

Organized by

 

Matthijs Kalmijn,

Jaap Dronkers & Michael Wagner

 

 

 

November 13 & 14, 2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

 

1.        Conference Program                                                                                  2

2.        Abstracts                                                                                                   5

 

3.        Practical info                                                                                              13

4.        The network                                                                                              15

5.        Participants                                                                                                17

6.        Contact                                                                                                     20

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1. CONFERENCE PROGRAM

 

 

WEDNESDAY 12 NOVEMBER

 

20.30-21.30     Welcome drinks (Bar of Hotel De Druiventros)

 

 

 

THURSDAY 13 NOVEMBER

 

9.00-9.15         Coffee (Building E, Campus)

 

9.15-9.20         Opening of the conference (Matthijs Kalmijn)

 

9.20-11.00       Causes of divorce 1 (Room 8, Building E, Campus)

                        Chair: Matthijs Kalmijn

           

Thomas Klein (Germany): Marriage market and marriage stability

 

Felix Elwert (USA): Cohabitation, divorce, and the causal effect(s) of screening

 

Yvonne Aberg (UK): Social contexts and the risk of divorce       

 

11.00-11.30     Coffee

 

11.30-12.40     Causes of divorce 2

                        Chair: Jaap Dronkers

 

Hartmut Esser (Germany): Social embeddedness and marital (in-)stability.

 

Matthijs Kalmijn & Anne-Rigt Poortman (Netherlands): His and her divorce: A study of divorce determinants using information on who instigated the divorce

 

12.40-14.00     Lunch (The Tilbury, Building H, Campus)

 

14.00-15.45     Causes of divorce 3

                        Chair: Jaap Dronkers

 

Dorien Manting, A. Loeve & A. de Graaf (Netherlands): Economic independence and union dissolution

 

Ewa Fraczak (Poland): Union disruption in Poland.

 

Anne-Rigt Poortman (Netherlands): The divorce procedure and adjustment to divorce. The influence of characteristics of the divorce decision and divorce settlement on post-divorce depression

 

15.45-16.15     Tea


16.15-18.00     Consequences of divorce for divorcees

                        Chair: Matthijs Kalmijn

                       

Hans-Jürgen Andreß (Germany): Who is taking the initiative to separate? Marital Disruption and Subjective Well-Being.

 

Patrick Festy & Lidia Prokofieva (France/Russia): The economic consequences of divorce on men and women in Russia 

 

Dimitri Mortelmans & Sarah van Ourti (Belgium): A new relationship, a new start?

 

19.00-22.00     Conference Dinner (Restaurant Sprakeloos, Tilburg center)

 

 

FRIDAY 14 NOVEMBER

 

9.00-9.15         Coffee (Building E, Campus)

 

9.15-11.00       Consequences of divorce for children 1 (Room 8, Building E, Campus)

                        Chair: Henriette Engelhardt

 

Chiara  Saraceno (Italy): Recent trends in the social-demographic characteristics of marriage instability in Italy and their impact on fathers-children relations.                       

 

Tineke  Fokkema & Paul de Graaf (Netherlands): The contacts of divorced men and women with their adult children

 

Marco Albertini & Jaap Dronkers (Italy): Intergenerational effects of divorce in a Mediterranean and Catholic society: evidence from Italy.

 

11.00-11.30     Coffee

 

11.30-12.40     Comparative studies 1

                        Chair: Henriette Engelhardt

 

Michael Wagner & Bernd Weiss (Germany): Divorce risks in Europe: An overview

 

Matthijs Kalmijn & Wilfred Uunk (Netherlands): Social consequences of divorce in crossnational perspective: A new test of the stigmatization hypothesis

 

12.40-14.00     Lunch (The Tilbury, Building H, Campus)

 

14.00-15.45     Consequences of divorce for children 2

                        Chair: Michael Wagner

           

Erzsébet Bukodi & Jaap Dronkers (Hungary): Family structure and educational attainment in Hungary

 

Tim Vanhove & Koen Matthijs (Belgium): Unrealistic optimism in assessing divorce risks: The effect of parental divorce on students' divorce risk perception.

 

Tamar Fischer (Netherlands): Explaining divorce effects on children’s educational attainment and their age and route of leaving home; A test of the loss of resources theory for the Netherlands

 

15.45-16.00     Tea

 

16.00-17.10     Comparative studies 2

                        Chair: Michael Wagner

 

Hans-Peter Blossfeld (Germany): Assortative partner choice, couples’ division of work and union disruption in modern societies

 

Geetha Garib, Teresa Martin Garcia & Jaap Dronkers (Italy): Different effects of single motherhood on educational outcomes in the different OECD-countries with different family policies?

 

17.15-17.45          Closing discussion about the research network (Jaap Dronkers)

 


2. ABSTRACTS (IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER)

 

Social contexts and the risk of divorce

Yvonne Aberg

Nuffield College, Oxford University, United Kingdom     

 

In this paper it is argued that the social context of spouses, particularly the marital status of friends and acquaintances, is crucial to explaining marital stability. Several mechanisms linking the social context to the risk of marital disruption are discussed. A unique Swedish database that consists of annual data on all employees at about 1500 randomly selected workplaces is used for the analyses. Cox proportional hazards models with time varying covariates are used to analyze how the sex, age, and marital status of a person¿s coworkers affect his or her risk of divorce, when controlling for known individual-level risk factors. The results show that the demographic characteristics of coworkers considerably influence the risk of divorce. The core finding is that divorce is contagious, but that the patterns of influence differ significantly between men and women.  

 

Intergenerational effects of divorce in a Mediterranean and Catholic society: evidence from Italy.

Marco Albertini & Jaap Dronkers

European University Institute, Italy

 

Previous research has found negative effects of parental divorce on children’s educational attainment; in addition, it has been noted that effects of divorce are not equal in all western societies. However, research on catholic and southern European countries is quite poor. The aim of the paper is to add to the research on intergenerational effects of divorce in a catholic and southern European society: Italy. Italian society differs form other western societies with respect to many characteristics of its family structure, its cultural and religious systems, its social welfare system, and also with respect to the legislation, frequency and characteristics of divorce. Based on data of the Bank of Italy Survey of Households’ Income and Wealth, this study demonstrates that the educational level of the children with divorced parents is lower than the educational level of children of married parents. Next, contrary to what has been found in other European societies, it emerges from this research that widowhood has a significant negative effect on children’s educational attainment. The weakness of the Italian welfare system and the importance of the extended family network for survival in Italian society might explain this unexpected result. The study also demonstrates that this negative effect of divorce cannot be explained by the negative impact of the cultural climate of the area of residency. Furthermore, the study also shows that economic deprivation is one but not the most important cause of negative effect of divorce on children and it highlights the relevance of socialization process, and particularly parental conflict for the explanation of these negative effects. Finally, the analyses indicate that children of the lowest educated mothers have the largest educational backlog compared with comparable children with married similar low educated mothers. Thus, it can be argued that parents with already lower social and cultural resources find it more difficult to cope with the negative aspects of divorce and due to this low level of resources cannot obtain enough support from the weak and familialistic Italian welfare system.

 

Who is taking the initiative to separate? Marital disruption and subjective well-being.

Hans-Jürgen Andreß 

Universität zu Köln, Germany

 

The paper analyzes the economic consequences of marital disruption in Germany and their possible effects on subjective well- being with data from the German Socio-Economic Panel. Based on partnership dissolutions observed in the years 1984-1999 the paper  addresses the following questions: 1. How does the living situation  change in terms of housing, child care, employment and income?  2. How large are the economic changes for men and  women in  terms of different income concepts? 3. Finally, do the predominantly negative economic consequences result in correspondingly negative accounts of satisfaction with life and income? Compared to other life events (death of a partner) or income changes within stable marriages, marital dissolution, on average, has many more negative effects in terms of income, poverty status and subjective well-being. Among the separating men and women we find clear gender inequalities. As a result of the changes in household composition, support payments, employment and residential mobility, women, on average, end up with much lower disposable household incomes than during marriage, especially if one takes into account the number of persons living from these incomes. Analyses of various satisfaction measures indicate, however, that subjective well-being develops just the other way round: men are less satisfied, while women seem to cope much better with their new living situation. The paper speculates about some of the possible reasons.

 

Assortative partner choice, couples’ division of work and union disruption in modern societies

Hans-Peter Blossfeld

Bamberg University, Germany

 

This paper discusses rival theories about the effects of assortative partner choice and couples’ division of work on the risk of union separation. Then it classifies nine countries under study into welfare regimes and developes arguments of how different types of welfare regimes affect union separation. Finally, the paper summarizes the results of nine country-specific studies on divorce and separation and draws some general conclusions.       

 

Family structure and educational attainment in Hungary

Erzsébet Bukodi & Jaap Dronkers

Hungarian Central Statistical Office, Hungary    

           

In this paper we investigate the effect of parental divorce on educational achievement of children in Hungary. We use data of the Hungarian Youth survey from 2000, which is a sample of 8000 respondents born between 1971 and 1985. The dependent variable is the educational level of the respondents at the age of 17, 20 and 25, while the parental divorce variable is constructed on the combination of information on the family form until the age of 14 and the causes of not living with biological parents. We also control for parental occupation and education, number of siblings, extracurricular activities and religious socialisation. We find clear negative effects of parental divorce on educational outcomes at the age of 17 and 20, both for respondents living in a single parent family and for respondents living in a divorced family with a new (step-)parent. We don’t find significant negative effects of living in a single parent family, if death is the cause of single-parenthood. Negative effects of divorce have become insignificant for the educational attainment at the age of 25, while the negative effects of living in a single parent family, caused by death, are now significant. These results suggest that the effects of parental divorce in Hungary, a former communist society, hardly deviate from those of other European societies.

 

Cohabitation, divorce, and the causal effect(s) of screening

Felix Elwert

Harvard University, United States

 

Theory and empirical evidence famously disagree about the causal effect of premarital cohabitation on marital dissolution.  In particular, previous research consistently rejects the trial marriage screening hypothesis (TMSH) which posits that the information gathering and screening function of cohabitation reduces the risk of divorce among previously cohabiting married couples (e.g. Lillard et al 1995; but see Bruederl and Kalter 2001).  The present paper, by contrast, argues that TMSH holds but that its causal implications have been misunderstood.   Theory: This paper draws on the potential outcomes framework of causality to clarify the notions of direct and total causal effects of cohabitation. Contrary to standard theoretical accounts, I argue that the TMSH holds no clear implications about direct causal effects, but does hold implications about total causal effects. To that end, I employ some stylized assumptions from the literature to present a simple model in which a divorce-lowering (total causal) effect of cohabitation is present even though the direct causal effect is zero. The model implies that previous research on the TMSH, which attempts to identify direct effects only, is biased toward rejection on account of a mismatch between theory and estimation strategy.  Empirical results: I present first estimates for the total causal effect of cohabitation on divorce from a Cox model with pairwise matching on the propensity score using data from the fifth wave of the U.S. National Survey of Family Growth. Results confirm a strong divorce-reducing effect of cohabitation. In line with my theory I reproduce the Null finding for a direct effect of cohabitation on divorce (cf. Lillard et al 1995). Both empirical results provide support for my revised interpretation of the TMSH.  (However, I also submit a novel argument for why the specific nature of observational marriage data on principle does not allow for a causal interpretation of the direct effect estimate.) 

 

Social embeddedness and marital (in-)stability.

Hartmut Esser

University of Mannheim, Germany        

 

In this contribution a special aspect of the stabilization of marriages is addressed: the impact of the pair’s social embeddedness, especially in a network of friendship relations. The background builds the assumption that the social ‘definition’ of the relationship as a ‘pair’, which unbreakably belongs together, is nearly completely done by overlapping friendships. Such friendships then belong to the so-called marital-specific capital that would loose its value if the marriage broke up. This also keeps a marriage together, if e.g. there is a crisis. It is empirically shown (with data of the Mannheim Divorce Study) that this kind of social embeddedness indeed has a superior influence on the stability of the marriage and that such socially embedded marriages are nearly inseparable also in view of the generally increasing instability of (marital) relationships.

 

The economic consequences of divorce on men and women in Russia

Felix Festy & Lidia Prokofieva

INED, France  

           

We use two parallel surveys conducted with 868 divorced women (1993) and 1249 men (1998) in urban European Russia. Sampling, people interviewed and questionnaires are broadly similar. We measure the impact of divorce on poverty by comparing individual situations before and after divorce and/or persons remarried with those who are not. We confront different dimensions of poverty based on monetary income, autonomy in housing and a subjective appraisal. Non remarried women face a deep deterioration of their income, not men, not remarried women. Non remarried men face a deterioration in their housing conditions (in particular those with low incomes), not women, not remarried men. Non remarried men put less negative a judement on their low income (whatever their housing situation) than men and remarried women do. Poverty in divorce is multi-dimensional. It affects men and women differently.        

 

 

 

 

 

 

Explaining divorce effects on children’s educational attainment and their age and route of leaving home; A test of the loss of resources theory for the Netherlands.

Tamar Fischer

NIDI, The Netherlands 

           

In this Chapter we test the loss of resources theory for the Netherlands. Direct measures of a loss of cultural and a loss of economic resources after divorce are used. For both we tested to what extend they explain the effect of divorce on children's educational attainment and the age and route of leaving home. Next we studied effects of unstable and stable stepfamilies and of stepparents with a high level of resources and of stepparents with a low level of resources on the child outcomes. We used data from a large-scale survey among divorced and first married persons in the Netherlands (Divorce in the Netherlands, 1998). We found that economic losses explain a part of the negative divorce effect on children's educational attainment but not for the effect on the age of leaving home. The loss of cultural resources did not explain the divorce effect on any of the outcomes. Moreover, we concluded that stable stepfamilies generally give no compensation for negative effects of divorce and that unstable stepfamilies have an additional negative effect. Finally, effects of divorce on leaving for autonomy are only present for home leaving between age 17 and 21, the divorce effect on leaving for cohabitation stays positive at higher ages.

 

The contacts of divorced men and women with their adult children

Tineke            Fokkema & Paul de Graaf

NIDI, Nijmegen University, The Netherlands

 

This paper sets out to answer descriptive and explanatory research questions on the contact frequency between divorced parents and their adult children. The survey Divorce in the Netherlands 1998 (SIN98) has data on 1017 respondents (of whom 803 were divorced and 214 are in their first marriage) who have reported on the contact frequency with 2122 non-resident children older than 18 years. The outcomes show that especially divorced fathers have much less contact with their adult children than fathers who did not divorce. For mothers the differences are much smaller and hardly significant. Several possible explanations are offered for the lower contact frequency of fathers: (a) low involvement in parenting during the marriage, (b) the low percentage of fathers who are custodial parent after divorce, (c) remarriage, (d) absence of alimony payments, (e) divorce motives. The regression models show that especially the foster status explains the low level of contacts between fathers and their adult children. However, more than half of the difference between divorced and not-divorced fathers is not explained for in our analysis, which suggests that fathers in general need their wives to maintain contact with their adult children.

 

Union disruption in Poland.

Ewa Fraczak

Institute of Statistics and Demography, Poland

 

There is a wealth of information on determinants of family/union disruption process in Western European Countries. Our knowledge on the determinants of family/union dissolution in former Communist countries of Eastern Europe is very limited in comparison, judging by the small number of articles on this subject published in the international literature. Therefore the first aim of paper is to gain deeper insight into determinants of union/family disruption in Poland, as an example of former communist country. The structure of the paper is as follows: introductory information; potential sources of data for divorce studies; general information on process union/marriage and dissolution; what can we learn about a first union duration from Polish Retrospective Survey 2001?; analytical framework, theories and hypotheses on union disruption; basic scheme of the transition for the union disruption; data , variables, model based on the Polish Retrospective Survey 1991; results of model estimation and conclusion.

 

Are the effects of various family-forms on educational performance of children related to the demographic and social-policy characteristics of modern societies?

Greetha Garib, Teresa Martin Garcia & Jaap Dronkers 

European university institute, Italy

 

We investigate the gap in math and reading achievement of 15 year old pupils who live with a single-mother, with a mother and a male guardian, or with father, mother and grandparents versus those pupils who live with two parents in 19 OECD countries across Europe, North-America and the Pacific-Rim. Just like in an earlier more restricted study (Pong, Dronkers & Hampden-Thompson, 2003) we find significant differences in these gaps in math and reading achievement between these groups in these countries, also after controlling for a broad range of characteristics of parents and pupils. Following a multilevel analysis in which we include country-characteristics on family policy and on demography, we find single parenthood to be less detrimental where family policy (especially maternity-leave) decreases the achievement gap between pupils from single-mother and two-parent families. However in addition, this single-mother and two-parent achievement gap is greater in countries where the percentage of single-parent families is larger. We conclude, just like Pong, et al.(2003), that national family policies combined with a less laissez-faire policy towards the formation of single-parent families can diminish the negative academic outcomes of single motherhood.

 

His and her divorce: A study of divorce determinants using information on who instigated the divorce

Matthijs Kalmijn & Anne-Rigt Poortman

Tilburg University, The Netherlands

 

The past few decades have seen a tremendous growth in the number of statistical studies examining the social and economic determinants of divorce. All these studies treat divorce analytically as a couple decision. They analyze the occurrence and timing of the divorce, without considering who initiated the divorce, the husband, the wife, or both. This paper reanalyzes the determinants of divorce while using additional information about the divorce process. We asked questions about who initiated the divorce and we incorporate these measures into a multinomial event-history analysis. This novel approach to divorce may provide several new insights into the validity of prevailing theories about the social causes of divorce. Some theoretical arguments apply primarily to the wife (e.g. economic

independence), other arguments apply primarily to the husband (e.g., marital alternatives), while yet others focus on the couple (e.g., heterogamy effects). We make a distinction between ‘his’, ‘her’, and ‘their’ divorce and we reanalyze basic determinants of divorce. Our results confirm some of the existing theoretical interpretations but they refute others. In general, we obtain a more nuanced and more decisive account of the social causes of divorce than earlier studies have been able to present.

 

Social consequences of divorce in crossnational perspective: A new test of the stigmatization hypothesis

Matthijs Kalmijn & Wilfred Uunk

Tilburg University, The Netherlands

 

Many studies have examined the social consequences of divorce. Divorce can change the size and composition of a person's social network, it can change the quantity and quality of contacts with friends and family members, and it may also have an impact on various sorts of social participation. It is often found that divorce has negative social consequences and that it may also result in some degree of social isolation, particularly for men. These effects have often been explained in terms of the social investments that people have made in their social capital during marriage. Another and less often studied interpretation focuses on the social context of the divorced person rather than on the divorced person itself. Some decades ago, divorce was a form of behavior that was unaccepted by the large majority of the population and although acceptance of divorce has increased, there are still many contexts in which divorce is met with rejection. It is plausible that such responses to divorce will make social adjustment after divorce more difficult. We call this the stigmatization hypothesis. In this paper, we study the social consequences of divorce from a comparative perspective. We use panel data to examine the consequences of divorce or separation for (a) contacts with neighbors, (b) membership in organizations, and (c) social contacts with friends and family members. We examine these effects in 11 different western European countries (and possibly the United States as well). These countries differ in the degree to which divorce is a common and accepted form of behavior and thereby yield a unique opportunity to test the stigmatization hypothesis. More specifically, we examine whether the social consequences of divorce are more severe when divorce is less accepted. We examine these effects for men and women separately.

 

Marriage market and marriage stability

Thomas Klein            

University of Heidelberg, Germany

 

Match quality and marital stability are essential concepts in explaining marital

instability. Both depend on opportunities and restrictions of the marriage market. Lacking direct information on marriage market constraints, empirical studies usually concentrate on individual characteristics, esp. age of marriage, as an indicator for the marriage market. The problem of this approach, however, is that the individual characteristics simultaneously are related to individual mechanisms determining marital stability. Against with this background, the paper analyses the effect of age, age at marriage and other variables on marital stability and tries to evaluate to what extent the individual characteristics count for an impact of the marriage market. The analysis is based on the Familiensurvey 2000, which is a representative sample for Germany, conducted in the year 2000, and comprising retrospective information on individual history of marriages and partnership. The results provide support for marital stability depending heavily on marriage market parameters.

 

Economic independence and union dissolution

Dorien Manting, A. Loeve & A. de Graaf

Statistics Netherlands, The Netherlands 

 

This paper investigates the role of economic determinants of the process of breaking up. The basic notion behind the analyses presented is that women's economic independence is a major force in the rise of union instability. Additional, differentials between men and women with regard to the economic determinants and the role of breaking up is studied. Multivariate analyses are based on the Income Panel data of Statistics Netherlands. This sample follows about 70 thousand men and women (all ages) from 1989 up to 2000.

 

A new relationship, a new start? Longitudinal research on the formation of relationships as a post-separation coping strategy

Dimitri Mortelmans & Sarah van Ourti

University of Antwerp, Belgium

 

The aftermath of divorce is seldom uncomplicated. Especially the financial consequences bear heavily on the ex-partners and potentially include social and psychological repercussions. In particular for women, a disruption encompasses a significant decline in household income, mainly due to the fact that they predominantly get custody. To bounce back from this setback, remarriage is generally considered to be more efficient than employment. For the analyses, longitudinal data will be used, collected through the Panel Study of Belgian Households.  Using structural equation models, we will look in this paper whether a new cohabiting relationship is in fact the road to economic recovery. Economic well-being is broadly defined, to allow for the living situation, possession of goods, as well as subjective well-being to be included. In this way, we intend to get a thorough insight into the evolution of women¿s economic well-being after the break-up, as well as into an eventual recovery.

 

The divorce process and adjustment to divorce. The influence of characteristics of the divorce process on post-divorce depression      

Anne-Rigt Poortman

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands  

 

A divorce is usually associated with a broad array of negative consequences,as shown by both longitudinal and cross-sectional studies on divorce. In this paper, we focus on differences in post-divorce depression within the group of divorcees and highlight the so far little studied role of the process of divorce. The divorce process refers to the time period from the decision to split up to the settlement in the first year after divorce. Characteristics considered refer to: (a) decision to split up, (b) attitudes towards divorce at the time of the divorce decision, (c) conflicts surrounding settlement of divorce, (d) outcome of divorce settlement with respect to alimony and children, and (e) fairness of the outcome of the divorce settlement. The following research questions are addressed: (1) To what extent do characteristics of the divorce process have an influence on divorcees' post-divorce depression? (2) To what extent can this influence be explained by divorcees' current situation with respect to finances, contacts with ex-spouse and contacts with children?, and (3) To what extent does the influence of the divorce process and the current situation differ between remarried and single divorcees? Findings show that especially attitudes from the broader social environment affect divorcees' post-divorce depression, just as some indicators for the settlement and fairness of the settlement with respect to alimony and children. The current situation influences divorcees' post-divorce depression, but it's mediating role is small. Finally, the effects do not differ much between remarried and single divorcees.

 

Recent trends in the social-demographic characteristics of marriage instability in Italy and their impact on fathers-children relations.

Chiara Saraceno

University of Turin, Italy           

           

Until recently in Italy marriage instability involved disproportionately the educated middle class, dual worker couples living in the center-North. Moreover, the presence of children had a negative effect on the propensity to separate. Thus children where to some degree more protected than elsewhere from financial hardships and from a weakening of fathers-children ties due to their parents' separation. In the better educated couples, in fact, fathers tend to be more involved in child care during marriage, and this has a beneficial effect on their continuing involvement after separation. In recent years the democratization of marital instability, involving a larger number of couples, has kept the number of children involved growing, notwithstanding the persistent negative effect they have on the propensity to separate. Moreover, particularly in the Center-Noth, the quota of lower middle class couples, with middle education who separate has increased, thus increasing the number of children who live in households with a firmer gender division of labour and where women are less likely to have adequately paying jobs, while mmay have difficulty in paying adequate child support. Thus children may suffer the consequences both in relational and financial terms of marriages (rather than only separations) based on a traditional gender division of labour. One of the paper's thesis, based on empirical research findings, is that what happens in separation and divorce is to a large degree dependent on patterns of marriage.         

 


Unrealistic optimism in assessing divorce risks: The effect of parental divorce on students' divorce risk perception.

Tim Vanhove & Koen Matthijs

Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium

 

Based on the recent results of an Internet survey of 1.000 first year students at the Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, this paper addresses the relationship between individual and general divorce risk perception and parental civil status. Focusing on the determining factors, it is clear that the individual divorce risk assessment is influenced by a tendency of unrealistic optimism. One estimates ones own divorce risk lower than perceived general risk, even if one is (considered to be) part of a high-risk group.  

 

Divorce risks in Europe: An overview

Michael Wagner & Bernd Weiss

Forschungsinstitut für Soziologie, Germany

 

This paper presents very preliminary results of a project that examines divorce risks in Europe. Empirical basis are longitudinal studies from more than 20 European countries. Meta-analytical techniques are applied to identify overall effect sizes and to investigate the heterogeneity of divorce risks across European countries. We concentrate on the effects of variables that are related to the information level about the partner before marriage, search costs, marital-specific capital and dissolution costs. 


3. PRACTICAL INFORMATION

           

Program dates and times

 

Thursday, November 13, from 9 AM until 6 PM

Friday, November 14, from 9 AM until 6 PM

 

Location: Tilburg University Campus, Building E, room 8.

Warandelaan 2, 5037 AB Tilburg

 

 

From airport to Tilburg

 

From Schiphol Airport to Tilburg you can take the train.

 

For example:

2.16 PM Schiphol (platform 5) to Rotterdam Central Station

Change trains in Rotterdam Central Station (arrival 3.01 PM)    

3.15 PM Rotterdam Central Station (platform 7) to Tilburg (arrival 4.02 PM)

 

Costs: a second-class ticket euro 14,70 and first-class euro 23,50.       

 

When you arrive at the Tilburg Central station on 12 November you can take a taxi to the Postelse Hoeve. We will reimburse your taxi costs. If you are by car, please contact Inge Akerboom, or look at the web page of the hotel.

 

 

Hotel

 

We have made hotel reservations for the international participants for 12, 13 and 14 November and for the Dutch participants for 13 and 14 November.

International participants are expected to arrive on Wednesday 12 November.

 

Hotel "De Druiventros"
Bosscheweg 11
5056 PP Berkel-Enschot
(+31)(0)13 5339115
http://www.druiventros.nl/

 

The hotel is located 15 minutes driving from Tilburg.

 

 

Transportation

 

We have a shuttle, which brings everyone from the hotel(s) to the university (at 8.30 AM) and back (at 6 PM). The shuttle will also bring us back and forth to the site of the conference dinner.

 

In case you need one, there are also regular buses: From the hotel to Tilburg Railway Station (regional bus 140). From the Railway Station to Campus (bus 48).


 

Drinks and dinner

 

On Wednesday night, we will have welcome drinks for the international participants at the bar of the hotel De Druiventros from 8.30 PM – 9.30 PM.

 

On Thursday evening, we will have a conference dinner at the following address:

 

Restaurant Sprakeloos

St. Josephstraat 138

Tilburg

tel. 013-5800811

 

The shuttle will take us to the restaurant and will leave at 7 PM. It will bring us back at around 10-11 PM.


4. DIVORCE IN CROSS-NATIONAL PERSPECTIVE:

A EUROPEAN RESEARCH NETWORK

 

The last decades have shown a rise in the rate of divorce in Europe. In all European countries, the probability of divorce among married or cohabiting couples has increased, although in some countries more quickly and more radically than in others. The rise in divorce in (continental) Europe deviates from developments in the United States. The main difference is that in the US, causes and consequences of divorce are strongly connected with "old" forms of social inequality like class, education, income and ethnic group. There are some indications that this connection between old forms of social inequality and divorce is looser in (continental) Europe; for instance, the negative effect of divorce on the well being of children involved tends to be smaller in Europe than in the US. The topic of this program is "the relationships of divorce with economic and cultural inequality and with the different social security and family policies within Europe".

 

Background

 

Some demographers consider divorce to be a result of growing individualisation and secularisation in society. These two processes put pressure on the traditional values of marriage and raising children, leading to an increased divorce rate. If this is true, European societies with less secularisation and individualisation should have lower divorce rates. If a higher educational level of couples produces a higher level of individualisation, there should be a positive relation between educational level of both spouses and their divorce risk. 

       An economic tradition attributes the rise in divorce rates to changes in the balance between the cost and benefits of marriage for both husband and wife. If this is true there should be a higher divorce rate among women with high-income jobs, because a high income lowers the cost of divorce for them. In that case, divorce rates in European societies with more full-time working mothers in higher positions should be higher. But the negative effect of parental divorce on children is often explained by the poverty of mother-headed single families. In that case, negative effects of parental divorce should be smaller in European societies with more full-time working mothers in higher positions than in other societies. Social security systems might reduce the degree of poverty in mother-headed single families, which might lead to differences in negative effects of parental divorce between European societies.

       Liberal divorce laws might also lead to higher levels of divorce, as some politicians maintain. If this is true, differences between and changes in divorce rates of European societies depend on the differences in their divorce laws. But the most accepted explanation of the negative effect of parental divorce on children is the conflict between parents before and after the break-up. If this is true, liberal divorce laws might dampen the negative effects for children because they prevent long lawsuits and thus the intensity and length of the parental conflict.

       Another assumption about the consequences of divorce for inequality is that they result from stigmatisation of the divorcees and their children by the surrounding society. If this assumption is true, the consequences of divorce for inequality should become smaller when the divorce rates increase, because the higher these divorce rates are the more normal divorce becomes and thus the lower the level of stigmatisation. In that case, policy makers do not need to worry about the divorce rates but only need to combat the stigmatisation of divorce in order to counter the relation between inequality and divorce. Therefore, it makes sense to test this assumption of stigmatisation by comparing these negative consequences in different European societies with different divorces rates.

 

Themes

 

It is useful to make a distinction between the causes and the consequences of divorce on the one hand, and between cultural and economic dimensions on the other hand. The resulting fourfold scheme provides a nice framework for studying aspects of divorce which we think are relevant from a sociological and demographic point of view. The scheme also provides a practical guide for the more general comparative aims of the research network:

 

                                                                                    Economic                      Cultural

Causes of divorce                                                          A                                 B         

Consequences for divorced persons                                C                                  D

Consequences for children of divorced persons               E                                  F

 

Each cell in this scheme represents certain types of questions about the relation between divorce and inequality. We will give some examples for each cell.

       A. Does the stronger economic position of wives, resulting from their larger possibilities of participating in the labour force, increase their risk of divorce? Does the economic position of husbands have a similar effect on their divorce risk? What effects have social security schemes or children allowances on the probability of divorce?

       B. Does the stronger cultural position of women, resulting from their larger educational attainment, increase their risk of divorce? Is a large heterogamy in education between wives and husbands an extra divorce risk?

       C. What are the effects of divorce on the economic position of both men and women, not only shortly after their divorce but especially in the long run? By economic position, we mean their occupation, income, housing conditions, unemployment and dependency on social welfare.

       D. What are the effects of divorce on the cultural position of both men and women, not only shortly after their divorce but especially in the long run? By cultural position we mean the opportunities to find a new partner, contacts with their (adult) children, parents (in-law) and friends, social participation, etc.

       E. What are the effects of divorce on the economic position of their children, not only shortly after the parental divorce but also in the long run?

       F. What are the effects of divorce on the cultural position of their children, not only shortly after the parental divorce but especially in the long run? By cultural position we mean their educational attainment, their chances to marry, cohabit and to divorce, etc.

 

Aims

 

The aim is to bring together scholars who work empirically on this topic and to form a European network for empirical and comparative research on the sociological aspects of divorce. Given the increasing divorce rates in Europe, the slowly starting research on divorce in Europe, the many possibilities to compare between European states and the growing interest of policy makers and the broader public for the sociological aspects of divorce, such a network would be very beneficial for the quality of the research. This network should meet twice a year to discuss current research of the members, to promote comparative research and to stimulate publications on this topic. A long-term aim of this network is the possible production on a book on the sociological aspects of divorce in Europe, for which we are willing to act as editor. The start of the network is planned for 2002 and it should run at least for four years to bear fruit.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5.    PARTICIPANTS


 

 


Yvonne Aberg

Department of Sociology

Stockholm University

SE-106 91

Stockholm, Sweden

Yvonne.Aberg@sociology.su.se

 

Marco Albertini

EUI, Department of Political and Social Science

Via dei Roccettini, 9

I-50016  San Domenico di Fiesole (FI)

Italy

marco.albertini@iue.it

 

H.J. Andress

Universität zu Köln

Fakultät für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften

Herbert-Lewin-Str. 2

D-50931 Köln

Germany

hja@wiso.uni-koeln.de

 

Hans-Peter Blossfeld

Otto-Friedrich-Universität Bamberg

Fakultat fur Sozial- und Witschafstwissenschaften

PO BOX 1549 

D-96045  Bamberg

Germany

hans-peter.blossfeld@sowi.uni-bamberg.de

 

Erzsebet Bukodi

Hungarian Central Statistical Office

PO Box 51

H-1525  Budapest

Hungary

Erzsebet.Bukodi@office.ksh.hu

 

Jaap Dronkers

European University Institute, Department of Political and Social Sciences

Via dei Roccettini 9

I-50016  San Domenico di Fiesole

Italy

jaap.dronkers@iue.it

 

 

 

Felix Elwert

Harvard University, Dept. of Sociology

622 William James Hall

MA 02138  Cambridge

USA

elwert@fas.harvard.edu

 

Henriette Engelhardt

Institute for Demography, Austrian Academy of Sciences

Prinz Eugen Str. 8

A – 1040  Vienna

Austria

Henriette.Engelhardt@oeaw.ac.at

 

Hartmut Esser

Universität Mannheim

Mannheimer Zentrum für Europäische Sozialforschung (MZES)

L7,1

D-68161  Mannheim

Germany

esserh@rumms.uni-mannheim.de

 

Patrick Festy

INED

133 boulevard Davout

75020 Paris

France

festy@ined.fr

 

Tamar Fischer

KUN, Vakgroep Sociologie

Postbus 9104

6500 HE  Nijmegen

The Netherlands

t.fischer@maw.kun.nl

 

Tineke Fokkema

NIDI

Postbus 11650

2502 AR  Den Haag

The Netherlands

Fokkema@nidi.nl

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ewa Fraczak

Institute of Statistics and Demography, Warsaw School of Economics SGH

Al. Niepodleglosci 162

02-554  Warsaw

Poland

ewaf@sgh.waw.pl

 

Paul de Graaf

KUN

Postbus 9108

6500 HR  Nijmegen

The Netherlands

pdegraaf@mailbox.kun.nl

 

Matthijs Kalmijn
Tilburg University

Postbus 90153

NL-5000 LE Tilburg

The Netherlands

M.Kalmijn@uvt.nl

 

Thomas Klein

Universitat Heidelberg

Institut für Soziologie

Sandgasse 9

69117 Heidelberg

Germany

Thomas.Klein@urz.uni-heidelberg.de

 

Aat Liefbroer

NIDI

Postbus 11650

2502 AR  Den Haag

The Netherlands

liefbroer@nidi.nl

 

Dorien Manting

CBS

postbus 4000

2270 JM  Voorburg

The Netherlands

dmng@cbs.nl

 

Christiaan Monden

Tilburg University

Postbus 90153

NL-5000 LE Tilburg

The Netherlands

c.w.s.monden@uvt.nl

 

 

 

 

Dimitri Mortelmans

UIA - University of Antwerp
Universiteitsplein 1
B - 2610 Wilrijk
Belgium 

Dimitri.mortelmans@ua.ac.be

 

Ruud Muffels

Tilburg University,

Department of sociology

P.O. Box 90.153

5000 LE Tilburg
The Netherlands
ruud.j.muffels@uvt.nl

 

Sarah van Ourti
UIA - University of Antwerp
Universiteitsplein 1
B - 2610 Wilrijk
Belgium 

sarah.vanourti@ua.ac.be

 

Anne Rigt-Poortman

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Vakgroep Sociologie en Sociale Gerontologie

De Boelelaan 108c

1081 HV Amsterdam

The Netherlands

ar.poortman@scw.vu.nl

 

Chiara Saraceno

University of Turin,

Department of Social Sciences

Via S. Ottavio 50

10124 Torino

Italy

saraceno@cisi.unito.it

 

Wilfred Uunk

Tilburg University, Dep. of Sociology

Postbus 90153

5000 LE Tilburg

The Netherlands

w.uunk@uvt.nl

 

Tim Vanhove

Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Departement Sociologie - Centrum voor Bevolkings- en Gezinsonderzoek

E. Van Evenstraat 2B (B.03.33)

B3000 Leuven

Belgium

tim.vanhove@soc.kuleuven.ac.be

 

 

Michael Wagner

Forschungsinstitut für Soziologie

Greinstraße 2

50939 Köln

Germany

mwagner@wiso-r610.wiso.uni-koeln.de

 

Bernd Weiss

Forschungsinstitut für Soziologie

Greinstraße 2

50939 Köln

Germany

bernd.weiss@fh-bochum.de

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6.         CONTACT

 

 

For more information, please contact:

 

Inge Akerboom
Research Institute Faculty of Social and Behavioural Sciences
Tilburg University
P.O. Box 90.153
5000 LE Tilburg
Tel: + 31-13-466.2952 / 3140
Fax: +31-13-466.2053

Email: I.Akerboom@uvt.n

 

Anne-Marijn de Wit

Email: A.N.deWit@uvt.nl

 

Or consult our website:

http://www.tilburguniversity.nl/faculties/fsw/research/worc/events/divorce/