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CONTENTS


Section with basic readings (Back to index)
Basics
First Years of EMU

From Richard Portes (in 2002):
The European Contribution to International Financial Stability CEPR WP 2956
The Euro and the Financial System CEPR WP 2955
A Monetary Union in motion: the European Experience 2954
a very useful reading list

The EU Economy Review (Nov 2001) Economic and Financial Affairs - Publications Chapter 1: Prospects and policy challenges for the EU Economy Chapter 2 Macroeconomic developments in the euro area Chapter 3: Determinants and benefits of investment in the euro area Chapter 4: Financial market integration in the EU Chapter 5: Reforms of pension systems in the EU - an analysis of the policy options Chapter 6: The microeconomic impact of Information and communication technologies in Europe.

European Union: Autumn 2001 economic  forecasts for 2001-2003 Forecast and economic forecasts for the Candidate Countries  more..

First year:

New from the OECD EMU One Year On a Policy Brief presenting an overview of the study on the first year of EMU which was discussed  in a seminar held at OECD headquarters on 25 January 2000 and revised in light of the comments received on this occasion.  The cut-off date for information included therein is 1 February 2000.
Wim Duisenberg: The Eurosystem's monetary policy strategy: The first year's experience, speech at the joint congress of the Federations, Eurofinas and Leaseurope, Paris, 11 October 1999.
Sirkka Hämäläinen, "One year with the euro" EN
The first six months of European Economic and Monetary Union by Sirkka Hämäläinen, Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank.
The euro - nine months with Europe's new currency by Sirkka Hämäläinen, speech delivered at an event organised by the European Union Chamber of Commerce in Toronto (EUCOCIT) and the Embassy of Finland, Toronto, 28 September 1999. See also European integration and the financial environment - Reflections after nine months with the Euro speech delivered on the 40th Anniversary of the ACI Austria at Vienna, 9 October 1999.
The euro: experience to date and future prospects  by Hämäläinen, Sirkka. Speech delivered at Nordic Forex '99,   Helsinki, 21 August 1999.
The euro - four weeks after the start Issing, Otmar, London, 28 January 1999.
 

The Euro Changeover

 Joint press conference given by the EU Presidency, the European Central Bank, and the European Commission on the introduction of the euro banknotes and coins
Wim Duisenberg  Introductory statement to the press conference on 3 January 2002 and Keynote address at an awards ceremony and press conference held on the eve of the introduction of the euro banknotes and coins

FAQ on the euro banknotes and coins:  EN

A short piece by Giancarlo Corsetti for Tiaa-cref: Idea Exchange with Barry Eichengreen (Dec 2001): Feeling the Impact of the EuroCurrency
Martin Wolf (FT): A catalyst for further change Read

eurotrash offers man-in-the-street  perspectives on the currency switch.
 

The 2001 Economic slowdown

Concluding Statement of the IMF Mission on the Economic Policies of the Euro Area
 

The Euro and September 11, 2001

Global Prospects after September 11 and Implications for Japan Address by Shigemitsu  Sugisaki, Deputy Managing Director IMF Jan 25, 2002
 

Policy cooperation in Europe
Monetary Union and European Economic and Political Integration
How and why did Europeans get to the euro: the roots of monetary cooperation in Europe 1945-1992
Monetary Cooperation in crisis 1992-1993
Back to index


The European Central Bank

European Central Bank. The official site provides an overview of the institute and contact addresses.


The ECB watchers and monitors

The ECB and its watchers Otmar Issing, Frankfurt June 17

In alphabetical order:

Center for Economic Policy Research: "Monitoring the European Central Bank" (and MECB Updates). This is an important series of contributions by leading scholars and observers.

Center for Financial Studies:ECB monitor

Deutsche bank research : EMU Watch series.  ECB Shadow meeting: Minutes (discontinued?)
CVs of ECB council members,  recent topics.

Observatory of the European Central Bank : Home OBCE This is the website of a Spanish ECB Watcher (Observatorio del Banco Central Europeo, OBCE). A Shadow Committee has monitored the ECB since 1999.

Zentrum für Europäische Integrationsforschung
EMU monitor      EMU-Monitor Download Area
EMU-Monitor: Press Statement No. 4


European Central Banks and Treasuries

Central Banks:

 
 Austria  Belgium  Denmak  Finland France
 Germany (in English)  Greece  Ireland  Italy  Luxembourg
 The Netherlands  Portugal Spain  Sweden UK
Treasury:
 
Austria  France Germany Italy Finland
Ireland Luxembourg UK Spain Portugal
The Netherlands
How do national central banks work with the ECB? Correspondent central banking model. ECB. December 1998. click here pdf 59 kB

Economic and Monetary Union as seen by the Banque de France Nov 1998

Sweden and EMU Carlsson Investment Management
The new currency and the Swedish economy First Deputy Governor Lars Heikensten at Swedish Shareholders Association

 The Bank of England-Center for Central Banking Studies


Official Sources of information

Europa with links to all official pages. It provides information on every aspect of the European Union's constituent bodies in the EU's 11 languages.

  • The European Commission's Eurosite
  • Europarliament web server
  • SCADplus Database (SCAD is a bibliographical database containing references of more than 250.000 documents divided in 4 sectors. Sector A : Community legislation; Sector B : Official publications; Sector C : Articles from periodicals; Sector D : Opinions from the two sides of industry. A special "News update" section gives you access to a selection of the most recent documents on the activities of the European Union.
  • Official EU documents on EMU can be accessed in their entirety from the University of Mannheim's European Documentation Centre.
The euro and the treaty
Treaty of Maastricht
Treaty of AmsterdamTHE AMSTERDAM TREATY: A COMPREHENSIVE GUIDE

 BIS / BRI / BIZ - Bank for International Settlements - Publications
     Euro-currency Standing Committee
     International Banking and Financial Market Developments
     Central Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity in April 1998: Preliminary Global Data

OECD Economics: country data and analysis
OECD Euro data set

IMF International Monetary Fund Home Page

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago-Euro Resource Page
 



Daily news and comments

Bloomberg.com : Bloomberg EMU Update

Chase Global Markets - Currency and Fixed Income Research Daily Brief

Deutsche bank research

Financial Times
Link to the EMU page of FT ("free subscription" required)

Yahoo EMU

CNNFN Europe

Morgan Stanley Dean Witter Global Economic Forum. Daily comments on the behavior of major currencies. (free - registration required)

Research for Corporate and Institutional Clients by Merrill Lynch (www.ml.com)

EMU site on BBC

Le Monde: L'Euro au quotidien
L’Euro rentre en Europe

European Voice Online, a sister-publication from the Economist Group, has an archive of news and features on the euro
 
 


Indicators and exchange rates

Economic indicators:

http://www.dresdnerkb.com/Euroland+Economic+Indicators/home.htm
This service provides an extremely valuable set of economic indicators that are updated daily. A must.

Official interest rates
Short-term interest rates

EUROSTAT: EURO Indicators - Eurostat - Luxembourg
Euro yield curve (daily)  Yields TermSpread Volatility

ECB: Euro area statistics - February 1999
Periodical publications
Money and Banking Statistics Sector Manual - Guidance for the statistical classification of customers, second edition, November 1999. pdf 862 kB

OECD Euro data set A comprehensive data set for the euro area
OECD National Accounts
OECD Economics: country data and analysis

Data and Plot on world currencies: Pacific Exchange Rate Service
This service provides access to current and historic daily exchange rates through an on-line database retrieval and plotting system. Also provided is a list of all the currencies of the world and the countries' exchange rate arrangements. Analysis and trend projections of the Canadian Dollar are available as well. Your web browser must be capable of handling tables. This service was developed by and is maintained by Prof. Werner Antweiler of the Faculty of Commerce and Business Administration at the University of British Columbia.

Financial indicators:

European Stock Market Indexes
World Online Quotes and Trading System

Capital DATA: BondwareLoanware

ISDA Home Page International Swaps and Derivatives Association, inc.

European financial institute: Financial News

EURIBOR web site :  what is Euribor ? What is Eonia ?

All indicators

GeoInvestor: Global Financial Markets News, International Economic Statistics/Analysis
This database pulls together the Web's economic and financial data in one convenient place, covering more than 40 countries. Its links go to data sets (e.g., GDP, CPI, industrial production, etc.). All links take users directly to the English-language pages containing the data -- plus news, press releases, official reports -- with the exception of the use of AltaVista translator, which provides English translations of French, German, Italian, Portuguese and Spanish newspapers. Geoinvestor has been created by William Kucewicz, a  career journalist -- a former Dow Jones/Wall Street Journal reporter and editor.

Surveys:

EUROPINION, European Continuous Tracking Survey (CTS) - Sondage suivi continu européen
 

 
Official Fixing Rates vs. Euro German Mark  DEM  1.955830
Irish Punt   IEP   0.787564 Belgian Franc  BEF  40.339900
Italian Lira   ITL  1936.270000 Luxembourg Franc  LUF   40.339900 
Dutch Guilder   NLG  2.203710 Spanish Peseta   ESP  166.386000
Austrian Schilling   ATS  13.760300 French Franc   FRF    6.559570
 Finnish Markka   FIM  5.945730 Portuguese Escudo  PTE   200.482000
Back to index


Building a policy agenda

Otmar Issing: How to promote  growth in the euro area: the  contribution of monetary policy,  pdf 109 kB

How to achieve a durable macro-economic policy mix favourable to growth and employment? by Otmar Issing, May 2000
 

EMU, the Euro and the European policy mix. by Coppel Durand and Visco (OECD).

Cologne European Council (3 and 4 June 1999): Presidency conclusions discussing the European Employment Act ANNEX I Resolution of the European Council and report on the Employment Pact. The so colled Cologne process (coordinated macroeconomic policy - macreconomic dialogue), Luxembourg process (coordinated employment Strategy), Cardiff process (economic reforms).

Single Market News - Action Plan for a Single Financial Market
Financial services: Commission outlines Action Plan for single financial market (11 May 1999)

The IMF on Policy Challenges for the Euro Area Klaas Knot, Donogh McDonald, and Karen Swiderski December 1998

Macroeconomic Policy in the First Year of Euroland December 1998. First Annual Report on the European Economy of the CEPS Macroeconomic Policy Group.Daniel Gros, Olivier Blanchard, Michael Emerson, Thomas Mayer, Hans Werner Sinn, Gilles St. Paul, Guido Tabellini
Annex: The Institutional Framework for Monetary Policy in Europe  (Daniel Gros And Guido Tabellini) (PDF Format, 123 KB)

The role of monetary policy in economic policy Wim Duisenberg, Wim, Brussels, 3 December 1998

The Monetary Policy of the Eurosystem by Otmar Issing, IMF Finance and Development, March 1999

Texts by Nouriel Roubini with relevant links to understand the US debate
Output and Inflation: Are We Mismeasuring Them ?
Should We Worry about Deflation?


Electoral and political cycles

The Political Business Cycle After 25 Years by ALLEN DRAZEN, University of Maryland and NBER March 2000

Helge Berger "Searching for Political Business Cycles in Germany" (with Ulrich Woitek), Public  Choice, 91 (2), 1997, pp. 179-197. Download --- "Further Observations on the Political Business Cycle in German Monetary Aggregates"  (with Ulrich Woitek), University of Glasgow, Discussion Papers in Economics, No.  9902, 1999. Download

Mobile capital, domestic institutions and Electorally-induced monetary and fiscal policyW. R. Clark, M. Hallerberg

EU Executive crisis. Search The Financial Times. (EU Executive Crisis - EU CRISIS: Earthquake in Europe - EU: Anglo-Saxon crisis hits the continent)
The New Commission Peter Ludlow, CEPS Director. Also: A new beginning for the European Institutions



The debate on monetary policy by the ECB

ECB  Monetary policy decisions to cut rates (SEPT 17)

 Fine tuning operations on 12 September 2001 ECB

Testimony before the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament Duisenberg September 12

 The ECB's monetary policy - accountability, transparency and communication Sirkka Hämäläinen September 2001

Christian Noyer: The stability-oriented monetary policy of the ECB, EN September 2001

Publication: the Monetary Policy of the European Central Bank  pdf 1010 kB August 2001

The ECB monetary policy strategy and the money market, by Vítor Gaspar, Gabriel Pérez Quirós and Jorge Sicilia, July 2001,  (ECB Working Paper No. 69),  pdf 512 kB

The performance of forecast-based monetary policy rules under  model uncertainty, by Andrew Levin, Volker Wieland and John C. Williams, July 2001, (ECB Working Paper No. 68), pdf 471 kB

Presentation of the ECB's Annual Report 2000 to the European Parliament. Introductory statement ,Wim Duisenberg July 2001

Wim Duisenberg: European Economic and Monetary Union: a success story  EN July 2001

International Monetary Fund: Concluding statement of the IMF mission on the economic policies of the euro area July 2001

Publication of the proceedings of the first ECB Central Banking Conference "Why price stability?"
 Publication of the third edition of the "Blue Book" ECB July 2001

The ECB must rethink its strategy Guido Tabellini June 2001

Sirkka Hämäläinen, What are the  benefits of the single currency for  competition and growth in the euro area? EN October 2000

Proceedings of the Conference on Monetary policy under uncertainty [EN] pdf 2.591 kB

 European Inflation Dynamics  JORDI GALI, Universitat Pompeu Fabra and NBER MARK GERTLER, New York University and NBER J. DAVID LOPEZ-SALIDO, Bank of Spain

DAVID MAYES and JUHA TARKKA, Bank of Finland The Value of Publishing Official Central Bank Forecasts

Otmar Issing: How to promote  growth in the euro area: the  contribution of monetary policy,  pdf 109 kB

How to achieve a durable macro-economic policy mix favourable to growth and employment? by Otmar Issing, May 2000

 The euro and international capital  markets, Carsten Detken and Philipp Hartmann, April 2000, (ECB Working  Paper No. 19), pdf 2017 kB

The repo Auctions of the ECB and the Vanishing Quota Puzzle , by D. Nautz and J. Oechssler

December 1999 Issue of Practical Issue arising from the euro by Bank of England.

Conference on "Monetary policy-making under uncertainty", organised jointly by the European Central Bank and the Center for Financial Studies of the University of Frankfurt, Frankfurt am Main, 3 December 1999. Introductory statement by Wim Duisenberg. Otmar Issing: The monetary policy of the ECB in a world of uncertainty

Review of the quantitative reference value for monetary growth 2 December 1999.

The ECB's monetary policy in the context of globalisation Otmar Issing, speech at the conference "Weltachsen", organised by the Center for European Integration Studies, the Center for Development Research and federal city of Bonn, 11 November 1999.

Globally liberalised capital markets and the conduct of monetary policy Christian Noyer: Introductory statement at the Fifth International Financial and Economic Forum: "Impact of globally liberalised capital markets", organised by IFW, Vienna, 11 November 1999.

The monetary policy of the ECB: stability, transparency, accountability By Otmar Issing. 25 October 1995.

Inflation zone targeting, by A. Orphanides and V.Wieland, October 1999, (ECB Working Paper No. 8)

Wim Duisenberg: The Eurosystem's monetary policy strategy: The first year's experience, speech at the joint congress of the Federations, Eurofinas and Leaseurope, Paris, 11 October 1999.

Svensson: Monetary Policy Issues for the Eurosystem, February 1999, presented at the Carnegie - Rochester Conference on Issues Regarding European Monetary Unification, November 20-21, 1998  conference version: PDF revised version:  PDF

Willem Buiter: Alice in Euroland dealing with procedural and other challenges facing the ECB/ECSB.

Evolving international financial markets: some implications for Central Banks William R White: BIS 66

The Taylor rule and interest rates in the EMU area: a note Stefan Gerlach and Gert Schnabel: BIS wp No. 73

Bank of England. Practical Issues Arising from the Euro. CHAPTER 3 of the  June 1999 Issue  provides a nice overview of the euro markets and ECB operations.

What does the single monetary policy do? A SVAR benchmark for the European Central Bank, by O. Tristani and C. Monticelli, May 1999, (ECB working paper no 2). pdf 309 kB

ECB: Euro area Monetary Aggregates Conceptual Reconciliation Exercise. July 1999.pdf 296 kB

 ECB: Treasury activities affecting liquidity in the euro area 1999

Willem Brainard, "Uncertainty and the Effectiveness of Policy", AER 1967 Article

 Output gap uncertainty: does it matter for the Taylor rule? BIS No. 60, Frank Smets: 1998

 EMU: growth through stability by Wim Duisenberg, Washington DC April 27 1999
 The Eurosystem's strategy for the euro Wim Duisenberg, Rome March 12 1999
 The ECB and its watchers Otmar Issing, Frankfurt June 17
 The euro A stable currency for Europe  Athens June 10 1999

The stability of money demand in the euro area

The demand for M3 in the euro area, by G. Coenen and J-L. Vega, September 1999, (ECB Working Paper No. 6) pdf 416 kB

The ECB and its watchersOtmar Issing, Frankfurt June 17



 
Risk of deflation?

 Samuelson: The Specter Of Deflation MSNBC Dec 14
 


Should the ECB adopt inflation targeting?

Proceedings of the Conference on  Monetary Policy-Making under Uncertainty, [EN] pdf 2.591 kB

DAVID MAYES and JUHA TARKKA, Bank of Finland The Value of Publishing Official Central Bank Forecasts

Svensson in favor of inflation targeting:
Svensson: Monetary Policy Issues for the Eurosystem, February 1999, presented at the Carnegie - Rochester Conference on Issues Regarding European Monetary Unification, November 20-21, 1998  conference version: PDFrevised version:  PDF
Svensson: "Open-Economy Inflation Targeting",  (PDF file)
Svensson: "Inflation Targeting as a Monetary Policy Rule", longer: PDF and shorter version: PDF
Price Stability as a Target for Monetary Policy: Defining and Maintaining Price Stability Lars E.O. Svensson #7276 (IFM, ME) PDF (340 K)

Willem Buiter:
Alice in Euroland dealing with procedural and other challenges facing the ECB/ECSB.  The piece contains at least twenty policy recommendations and is written in a robust style.

Issing in defense of the ECB strategy:
The ECB and its watchers Otmar Issing, Frankfurt June 17

Guido Tabellini   Inflation Targeting and the Accountability of the European Central Bank (PDF Format, 25 KB)   Statement prepared for the public hearing on "Democratic Accountability in the Third phase of    EMU", organized by the European Parliament, Subcommittee on Monetary Affairs, on Jan 6, 1998.

Peter Schmid:  Monetary Targeting in Practice: The German Experience  Comment by Jürgen von Hagen Download

John Vickers: Inflation Targeting in Practice: The UK Experience Comment by Heinz Herrmann Download

Kenneth N. Kuttner and Adam S. Posen, Does Talk Matter After All? Inflation Targeting and Central Bank Behavior
CFS Working Paper No. 1999/04 Download Paper


The debate on the interest rate cut in April 1999

AFTER the CUT: The President's introductory statement to the press conference on 8 April 1999

Stability, Asymmetry and Discontinuity: the outset of European Monetary Union by Giancarlo Corsetti and Paolo Pesenti, September 4, 1999. Preliminary and incomplete draft, prepared for the September 1999 Brookings Panel, forthcoming on Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, December 1999.

Should the ECB cut interest rates in 1999?

 Bank weighs all the odds by W. Munchau FT Feb 1999, Germany set for battle with ECB FT Feb 18, Lafontaine calls for interest rate cut FT Feb 19,  GERMANY: The blame game FT Feb 24 1999


the ECB: independent, transparent and accountable?

Cukierman Are contemporary Central Banks Transparent about Economic Models and Objectives
Honkapohja Expectations and the stability problem for optimal monetary policies
Hyun Shin: Welfare Effects of Public Information
Gersbach Should individual voting record of central bankers be published?
Jensen Optimal degrees of tranparency in monetary policymaking
Winkler   Which kind of transparency? On the need for clarity in monetary policy making
Geraats Precommitment, transparency and monetary policy
Eijffinger Central bank accountability and transparency: Theory and some evidence
Thornton The Fed´s influence on the Federal funds rate: is it open market or open mouth
Siklos The impact of monetary policy transparency and accountability on public commentary over different monetary policy regimes

Which kind of transparency? On the  need for clarity in monetary policy-making, Bernhard Winkler,  August 2000, (ECB Working Paper No. 26), (pdf 876 kB). pdf 876 kB

Sirkka Hämäläinen: The single monetary policy - the role of transparency and openness, [ EN], speech delivered at the Citizens'  Agenda 2000 NGO Forum, Tampere, 3 December 1999.

Alice in Euroland by Willem Buiter

Alice in Euroland: A Response by Ottmar Issing "The Eurosystem: Transparent and Accountable or Willem in Euroland". Similar content in  The ECB and its watchers Otmar Issing, Frankfurt June 17

Reply by Willem Buiter to Dr. Issing's letter in the Financial Times (open for business)

 PAUL DE GRAUWE: ECB, a Law unto itself Nov 1998

papers from the ECB - CFS conference "Monetary Policy under Uncertainty":
Geraats, Petra M. (1999): Transparency and Reputation: Should the ECB Publish Its Inflation Forecasts?
Ellison, Martin/Valla, Natacha (1999): Learning, Uncertainty and Central Bank Activism in an Economy with Strategic Interactions
Winkler, Bernhard (1999): Which Kind of Transparency? On the Need for Clarity in Monetary Policy-Making


The euro and the dollar

The Relation between the Euro and the Dollar", by Niels Thygesen, paper

Sirkka Hämäläinen, What are the  benefits of the single currency for  competition and growth in the euro area? EN October 2000

Is a dollar crisis just around the corner? "Perspectives on OECD Economic Integration: Implications for US  Current Account Adjustment" Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff, August 2000  PDF

A perspective on the euro by Giancarlo Corsetti (CESifo Forum, Summer 2000)

The euro and international capital  markets, Carsten Detken and Philipp Hartmann, April 2000, (ECB Working  Paper No. 19), pdf 2017 kB

Clostermann and Schnatz: The determinant of the euro-dollar exchange rate: synthetic fundamentals and a non-existing currency bundesbank.de

EmuNet - Politics and economics: International impact of the Euro (Euro / dollar)

EMU and Transatlantic Exchange-Rate Stability by Agnès Bénassy-Quéré, University of Lille II, and Benoît Mojon, CEPII, France

Discussing Euro volatility by Jérôme Creel and Henri Sterdyniak, OFCE, France

Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate Strategies: A Game Theoretical Approach by André Fourçans and Thierry Warin, ESSEC, France

The Effects of European Monetary Union on the Dollar and the Yen as International Reserve and Investment Currencies by Michael Frenkel, WHU Koblenz, Otto Beisheim Graduate School of Management, Germany, and Jens Sondergaard, Georgetown, University, Washington, D.C., USA

Economic Interdependence Across the Atlantic: National or European Dollar policy? by Lilia Cavallari and Giuseppe de Arcangelis, Università di Roma La Sapienza, Italy

Christian Noyer: The short past and long future of the euro  London, 6 December 1999.

The Behaviour of the Dollar and Exchange Rates in Europe: Empirical Evidence and Possible Explanations by Paolo Del Giovane and Alberto Franco Pozzolo, February 1998 pdf - 432 kB

Economic report of the president 1999 (last chapter includes a section on euro)

The Decline of the Dollar by C. Fred Bergsten (1/99)

LARRY SUMMERS: The American perspective (1997)

Hugo Paemen, the EU ambassador to Washington, and Fred Bergsten, president of the Institute for International Economics, discuss EMU and its impact on the US on National Public Radio's Talk of the Nation phone in programme. This is a RealAudio file.

The IMF on  The Euro Area and the World Economy John Green and Phillip L. Swagel December 1998

 The Euro and the Dollar McCauley, Robert, Working paper No. 50, Bank of International Settlements, November 1997.

The Federal Reserve page from the Washington Post
 


Target zones?

On the Evolution of Credibility and Flexible Exchange Rate Target Zones. with Renzo G. Avesani ( University of Brescia), Giampiero M. Gallo (University of Florence), Mark Salmon (City University Business School, London) Download PDF  figure1 figure2 figure3 figure4 figure5 1999

 The Target Zone Controversy by Rudi Dornbusch (2/99)

A page on TARGET ZONES by the Institute for International Economics

Crawling Bands or Monitoring Bands: How to Manage Exchange Rates in a World of Capital Mobilityby John Williamson. Article reprinted from International Finance, October 1998

 How to Target Exchange Rates  by C. Fred Bergsten Article reprinted from Financial Times, November 20, 1998

The Quest for Exchange Rate-Stability: Realistic or Quixotic? by Paul A. Volcker (11/95)

Stability forum Ft Feb 22 99
G7: Forum to help prevent crises agreed Ft Feb 22 99
France proposes forex stability plan (FT, feb 1999),
France offers to broker euro-dollar rate (FT Feb 99)
EXCHANGE RATES: Off target Martin Wolf (FT FEB 3 1999)
Ceilings for the euro and the yen: Fred Bergsten in response to Martin Wolf (FT, FEB 8 1999)


On the lender of last resort, surveillance and financial fragility

Should Banking Supervision and Monetary Policy Tasks Be Given to Different AgenciesCarmine Di Noia and Giorgio Di Giorgio, 1999 This paper was published in International Finance 2:3, 1999.

The future of banking supervision and the integration of financial markets by  Wim Duisenberg, May 2000

European Banking Distress and EMU: Institution and macroeconomic risk File by Michael Hutchinson

Treasury Virtual Library: http://www.ustreas.gov/press/releases/archive.htm
 

Financial Stability Forum (FSF): http://www.FSForum.org/

Centre For European Policy Studies (CEPS): European Shadow Financial Regulatory Committee (ESFRC)  The Capital Adequacy Reform, seen from Brussels  Dealing with Problem Banks in Europe

Ivo J. M. Arnold  Jan Lemmen The Vulnerability of Banks to Government default risk in the EMU  sp0115 July 1999

BIS Capital requirements and bank behaviour: the impact of the Basel Accord April 1999. Supervisory lessons to be drawn from the Asian crisis June 1999

Systemic Aspects of Recent Turbulence in Mature Markets by Garry Schinasi, IMF finance and Development, March 1999

EMU and banking supervision Padoa-Schioppa, Tommaso: EMU and banking supervision, Lecture at the London School of Economics, 24 February 1999.

ECB: Possible effects of EMU on the EU banking systems in the medium to long term, 409kBFebruary 1999.

  Legal Structure, Financial Structure and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism    by Stephen Cecchetti FEB 1999

IMF International Capital Markets September 1998--V. Selected Issues in Mature Financial Systems: EMU, Banking System Performance, and Supervision and Regulation

Enemy of None but a Common Friend of All? An International Perspective on the Lender-of-Last-Resort Function by Curzio Giannini

A page with interesting links on systemic risk and lender of last resort Professur für Wirtschaftstheorie: CFS-Conference

  "Allow Banks To Fail!" Edgar Meister Member of the Directorate of the Deutsche Bundesbank Speech at a symposium hosted by the University of Frankfurt on February 1, 1999

Financial Supervision and Policy Coordination in the EMU  (Deutsch-Französisches Wirtschaftspolitisches Forum/ Forum  Economique Franco-Allemand)

Ronald I. McKinnon - Policy of last resort (FT Feb 8 99): on the link between lender of last resort and exchange rate targets

On the Need for an International Lender of Last Resort  by Stanley Fisher, Jan 1999

IMF  Finance & Development, December 1998 - Ensuring Financial Stability in the Euro Area  By Alessandro Prati and Garry J Schinasi

THE COLLAPSE OF THE EUROPEAN MONETARY UNION Charles W. Calomiris, Paul M. Montrone Professor of Finance and Economics, Columbia Business School, Cato Institute, Oct 22 1998 (Implications of banking fragility on EMU stability).

IMF International Capital Markets September 1998--V. Selected Issues in Mature Financial Systems: EMU, Banking System Performance, and Supervision and Regulation

Preventing Bank Crises: Lessons from Recent Global Bank Failures, by J Frenkel, Keynote speech on " Preventing Bank Crises: Lessons from Recent Global Bank Failures," conference sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago and the World Bank, Lake Bluff, IL, June 11, 1997.

Implications of EMU for IMF Surveillance December 1998

Bank risk:
VaR Calculator VaR Data Set The RiskMetrics

many theoretical papers on moral hazard, deposit insurance and lender of last resort can be found at the following address:
FRB Minneapolis Research Archive - Working Papers and

Deposit Insurance Reform by the FRB of Minneapolis

A page by Pierluigi Balduzzi on Long Term Capital Management

by Nouriel Roubini:
Reform of the Architecture of the International Financial System: Alternative Views and
Bank Supervision and Regulation and Reform of Basle Capital Adequacy Standards


Price and wage convergence?

A useful link with lots of information on labor market  Fondazione Rodolfo DeBenedetti

Wim Duisenberg Are different price developments in the euro area a cause for concern?Sept 2000

Purchasing Power Parities calculated by the OECD
PPPs for all OECD countries PPP based comparative price levels

Output and Inflation: Are We Mismeasuring Them ?
A text by Nouriel Roubini with relevant links to understand the US debate

Problems of Inflation Measurement in Germany March 1998
Johannes Hoffmann, Discussion paper of the economic research group of the Bundesbank

Price Level Convergence Among United States Cities: Lessons for the European Central Bank (PDF) Stephen Cecchetti, Nelson C. Mark, Robert Sonora January 1999

  "Does European Unemployment Prop Up American Wages? " by Donal Davis (harvard), National Labor Markets and Global Trade, American Economic Review, June 1998. PDF of the Paper

Sources of Purchasing Power Disparity between the G3-Economies", Journal of Japanese and International Economics.  (download paper in pdf-Format, 1 MB) by A Weber

"Sources of Purchasing Power Disparities: Europe versus the United States", European Economy,  (pdf, 1 MB) by A Weber
 
 

Regional Convergence

Wim Duisenberg Are different price developments in the euro area a cause for concern? Sept 2000

Wim Duisenberg: Economic divergences in the euro area: the consequences for economic policies, speech delivered at 'Nieuwspoort' in The  Hague, the Netherlands, 5 November 1999. EN

 From the ERM to the euro: new evidence on economic and policy convergence among EU countries, (pdf 383 kB), by I. Angeloni and L. Dedola, May 1999, (ECB working paper no 4). pdf 383 kB

Divergences in the euro area: a cause of concerns? by N Björksten and M Syrjanen, Working Paper of the Bank of Finland


The transmission mechanism

Proceedings of the Conference on  Monetary Policy-Making under Uncertainty, [EN] pdf 2.591 kB

http://www.bundesbank.de/en/monatsbericht/7.2beitraege.htmList of Bundesbank publications available to the general public 7. 2 Papers of the Bundesbank Spring Conference "The  Monetary Transmission Process: Recent Developments and Lessons for Europe" March 26 and 27, 1999.

Credit channels and consumption in Europe: empirical evidence BIS No. 69, Gabe de Bondt June 1999

The transmission mechanism: a quick refresher by the Center for Financial Studies(with references)

An EMU with Different Transmission Mechanisms? © Giorgia Giovannetti and Ramon Marimon 1998  full text (pdf file)

Will EMU Generate Asymmetry? Comparing Monetary Policy Transmission Across European Countries © Michael Ehrmann 1998  full text (pdf file)



 
Monetary Cooperation in Europe

Books on Monetary cooperation in euroland

A history of Monetary cooperation in Europe can be found in
Financial Markets and European Monetary Cooperation. The Lessons of the 1992-93 ERM Crisis by Willem Buiter Giancarlo Corsetti and Paolo Pesenti, Cambridge, U.K.: Cambridge University Press, 1998. Chapter 2 and 3.

The Mark of the Bundesbank : Germany's Role in European Monetary Cooperation by Dorothee Heisenberg 1998

 Cooperating With Europe's Monetary Union by  C. Randall Henning IIE

Theory
"A Simple Approach to International Monetary Policy Coordination " (January 1998) by Pierpaolo Benigno



On foreign exchange interventions
 

Exchange Rate Management When Sterilized Interventions Represent Signals of Monetary Policy Reeves,-Silke-Fabian
International-Review-of-Economics-and-Finance;6(4), 1997, pages 339-60..
ABSTRACT
     The signaling channel of foreign exchange market interventions suggests that sterilized interventions represent signals
     of future monetary policy and thus affect exchange rate expectations. Within a two-country game-theoretic framework,
     which incorporates two novel factors--partial credibility and non-rational expectations--that reduce the exchange rate
     effects of intervention operations, I derive non-cooperative and cooperative policies of exchange rate management. To
     retain credibility in the future, sterilized interventions must be accommodated by corresponding subsequent changes in the
     money supply. Thus, interventions do not represent an instrument independent from general monetary policy. It is shown
     that the implied tradeoff between internal and external policy objectives makes the coordination of intervention
     operations advantageous, even in the case of conflicting exchange rate targets.
 

Does Foreign Exchange Intervention Signal Future Monetary Policy? by  Kaminsky,-Graciela-L.; Lewis,-Karen-K.    Journal-of-Monetary-Economics;37(2), April 1996, pages 285-312.
ABSTRACT
     A frequently cited explanation for why foreign exchange interventions affect the exchange rate is that these
     interventions signal future monetary policy intentions. This explanation says that central banks signal a more
     contractionary monetary policy in the future by buying domestic currency today. Therefore, the expectations of future
     tighter monetary policy make the domestic currency appreciate, even though the current monetary effects of the
     intervention are typically offset by central banks. Of course, this explanation presumes that central banks in fact back up
     interventions with subsequent changes in monetary policy. In this paper, the authors empirically examine this
     presumption.

Occasional Interventions to Target Rates by Lewis,-Karen-K.  American-Economic-Review;85(4), September 1995, pages 691-715..
ABSTRACT
     This paper develops a model of central-bank intervention based upon a policy characteristic of foreign-exchange
     interventions by the United States, Germany, and Japan in the late 1980s and evaluates it empirically. Central bankers
     intervene with greater intensity as rates deviate from target levels but they also try to stabilize rates around current levels.
     The model is estimated using exchange rates and data based upon observed central-bank interventions. Interestingly, the
     estimates of the model are consistent with the predictions of the theoretical model for both the deutsche-mark/dollar rate
     and, less strongly, for the yen/dollar rate.


"Target"

Tommaso Padoa-Schioppa:  Clearing and settlement of securities: a European perspective speech at the Symposium of the Deutsche Bundesbank Payment and Securities Settlement Systems in Germany against the Background of  European and International Developments Frankfurt am Main, 5 September 2001.

Information on Target:  see ECB - European Central Bank  General information  TARGET testing & simulation  Basic texts

January 11 1999: FT EURO: German banks in payment errors; January 12 1999: FT EURO: Target's late opening is extended


Gold and international reserves (optimal composition and level)

April 27, 2000: The European  Central Bank should sell some of its U.S. dollar reserves to boost the value of the European single currency, Deutsche Bank chief economist Norbert Walter said to German radio station  Westdeutscher Rundfunk. ``There are a redundant 250 billion  dollars in the basement of the ECB, waiting for the dollar value to decline,'' Walter said, adding that a sale at the current exchange rate could help reduce the euro zone's budget deficits.   Walter also said he expects the ECB will raise interest rates by a  quarter-point today, though he doesn't expect that will have an  impact on the euro.

On the effectiveness of sterilized foreign exchange intervention by Rasmus Fatum, February 2000, (ECB Working Paper No. 10)

From the news:
The net foreign currency reserves of  the European System of Central Banks (ESCB or euro system) decreased by 500 million euros (dollars) to 250.1 billion euros in the week ended January 28, the ECB said on Tuesday. Among the items unrelated to monetary policy operations, assets

held in gold and gold receivables decreased by nine million euros to a total 116.295 billion euros, the ECB said in a statement. That was a result of the sale of one tonne of gold by a national  central bank, the ECB explained. A central bank spokesman declined to disclose which central bank  was involved.

The net foreign currency reserves of  the European System of Central Banks (ESCB or euro system) increased by 100 million euros (dollars) to 236.9 billion euros in the week ended December 24, the ECB said on Tuesday. Among the items unrelated to monetary policy operations, assets  held in gold and gold receivables declined by 91 million euros to a total 114.745 billion euros as a result of the sale of 10 tonnes of gold by a national central bank, the ECB said in a statement.  A central bank spokesman declined to disclose which central bank  was involved. But the sale was consistent with the 1999 Central Bank Gold  Agreement of September 26, the ECB said. Under that agreement, the 15 European central banks agreed not  to sell more than 2,000 tonnes of gold in the next five years at a rate of about 400 tonnes per year.  ESCB holdings of marketable securities of euro-area residents  increased by 100 million euros to 24 billion euros in the week to December 24.  Banknotes in circulation increased by 9.2 billion euros to 370.8  billion euros and liabilities to general government decreased by 3.5 billion euros to 48.4 billion euros, the ECB said.
 

The net foreign currency reserves of  the European System of Central Banks (ESCB or euro system) remained unchanged at 236.8 billion euros (dollars) in the week ended December 10, the ECB said on Tuesday. The ESCB comprises the European Central Bank and the national  central banks of the 11 euro-zone countries. Among the items unrelated to monetary policy operations, assets  held in gold and gold receivables declined by 31 million euros to a total 114.955 billion euros as a result of the sale of 3.5 tonnes of gold by a national central bank, the ECB said in a statement. A central bank spokesman declined to disclose which central bank  was involved. But the sale was consistent with the 1999 Central Bank Gold  Agreement of September 26, the ECB said. Under that agreement, the 15 European central banks agreed not  to sell more than 2,000 tonnes of gold in the next five years at a rate of about 400 tonnes per year. ESCB holdings of marketable securities of euro-area residents increased by 100 million euros to 24.1 billion euros in the week to December 10. Banknotes in circulation increased by 4.2 billion euros to 357.2 billion euros and liabilities to general government increased by 22.4 billion euros to 71.9 billion euros, the ECB said.
 

ESCB Joint statement on gold 26 September 1999. After the statement: on Sept. 28 prices rose 22 percent since the banks' comments on the 26, surpassing US$300 for the first time in almost a year. Gold prices are still almost a third less than in early 1996 after some countries sold bullion in favor of interest-bearing bonds. Gold for December delivery rose as much as US$45.20, or 15.9  percent, to US$329.00 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. That's the highest level since October, 1997.

Excess Foreign Exchange Reserves and Overcapitalisation in the Eurosystem Daniel Gros & Franziska Schobert, February 1999 CEPS Working Document No. 128

A Primer on the Balance Sheet of the Eurosystem , by Daniel Gros, 23 Feb 1999

 Reserve currency allocation: an alternative methodology BIS Wp No. 72, by Srichander Ramaswamy, August 1999

Manzocchi, S. and P.C. Padoan, Alternative Uses of EU Excess Reserves After the Introduction of the Euro. December 1997. PDF version



Fiscal Issues

Convergence of fiscal policies in the euro area, O. de Bandt and F. P. Mongelli, May 2000, (ECB Working Paper No. 20), pdf 1200 kB

OECD New Issues in public debt management: government surpluses in several OECD countries, The Common currency in Europe and Rapidly rising debt in Japan. April 2000

Andrea Zaghini The Economic Policy of Fiscal Consolidations: The European Experience pdf - 176 kB

Jan Lemmen Managing Government Default  Risk in Federal States sp0116*August 1999

Ivo J. M. Arnold  Jan Lemmen The Vulnerability of Banks to Government default risk in the EMU sp0115 July 1999

Ivo J. M. Arnold The Third Leg of the Stool: Financial Stability as a Prerequisite for EMU  sp0114 June 1999

Fiscal relations within the economic union. OECD Economics Department working paper no. 163, by Peter Hoeller, Marie-Odile Louppe and Patrice Vergriete (April 1996)  OCDE-GD(96)72

Estimating prudent budgetary margins for 11 EU countries:  A simulated SVAR model approach. OECD Economics Department working paper no. 216, by Thomas Dalsgaard and Alain de Serres (July 1999) eco-wkp(99)8

Dornbusch: LaFontaine's Europe [November, 1998]  The Buba and the Italian Debt Bomb [March, 1998]

Can the Ins hurt the Outs? A Welfare Analysis of International Fiscal Links Corsetti and Pesenti 1998

The Precarious Fiscal Foundations of EMU by Chris Sims 1998

  by J. Cochrane

Irish fiscal policy under EMU by Phil Lane

 Effects of the European Monetary Union on Taxation and Interest Spending of National Governments Mongelli, Francesco, IMF Working Paper, WP/97/93, International Monetary Fund, July 1997.

 Searching for Non-Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Policy Giavazzi Jappelli and Pagano, 1998


Growth and Stability Pact

"An Alternative Stability Pact for the European Union," with  Kevin McCauley and Malcolm  Sawyer, March 2000,  Jerome Levy Institute w.p. no. 296, http://www.levy.org/docs/wrkpap/pdf/296.pdf

 Jan Lemmen Life Without the Stability Pact  sp0109* January 1999

Following are extracts from  a report compiled by European Union finance ministers Nov. 29 1999 and presented to EU leaders at the Helsinki summit. This section of the report deals with implementation of the  bloc's pact for stability and growth.

The effectiveness of the budgetary and economic surveillance procedure will be enhanced by improvements in two areas:
1) stricter compliance with the code of conduct on the format and content of the programs. This means submission of detailed and  comparable data on underlying macroeconomic assumptions, receipts   and expenditures split by category of public administration and  planned measures which make it plausible that the targets set out  in the programs can be achieved. The main macroeconomic  assumption underlying the programs must be consistent, in particular among euro-area member states. Moreover, member states  should set out more clearly to what extent their public finances  would react to an unexpected variation of growth.
2) a commitment to submit the annual updated programs at the same time as, or shortly after, the adoption of annual budget proposals or of medium-term budgetary strategy documents foreseen  by national procedures. This will help ensure that the information and projections contained in the programs are as up-to-date as possible. Updated programmes will at the latest be submitted around the end of the calendar year. The essential elements of the opinions adopted by the council after examination should be reflected in the broad economic policy guidelines.

An Analysis of the Stability pact by R. Beetsma and H Uhlig

On the Need for Fiscal Constraints in a Monetary Union   PDF (Adobe Acrobat) file VV Chari and Pat Keho

EMU Stability Pact by C Wyplosz

`Excessive Deficits' Sense and Nonsense in the Treaty of Maastricht Buiter, Corsetti and Roubini Economic Policy 1993


Fiscal Tranfers and income insurance (optimal currency area)

A useful link  Fondazione Rodolfo DeBenedetti

Jürgen von Hagen Fiscal Policy and Intranational Risk-Sharing 1988

"Aggregate Risk Sharing Across US States and Across European Countries" by Marco del Negro pdf

"Risk Sharing Across US States and European Countries: An Empirical Puzzle." by Marco del Negro  pdf

Why Do More Open Economies Have Bigger Governments? by Dani Rodrik 1998


Fiscal Federalism

"The theory of fiscal federalism: What does it mean for Europe?," in Siebert, H. (ed.), Quo Vadis Europe?, 1997, J.C.B. Mohr: Tübingen (T. Persson, G. Roland and G. Tabellini).


Social Security

Phil Davis Pension Fund Reform and  European Financial Markets sp0107*  Nov 1998

Social Protection: the Achilles heel of EMU by Ian Begg

Nouriel Roubini on the US debate: Should the US Privatize Social Security ?



Unemployment in Europe - Labor market

European Inflation Dynamics  JORDI GALI, Universitat Pompeu Fabra and NBER MARK GERTLER, New York University and NBER J. DAVID LOPEZ-SALIDO, Bank of Spain

What is the "natural rate of unemployment in the euro area? Look at the "Alternative measures of the  NAIRU in the euro area:  estimates and assessment" by  Silvia Fabiani and Ricardo Mestre, March 2000, pdf 1061 kB (ECB Working Paper No. 17). Of related interest: "The quest for prosperity  without inflation, Athanasios Orphanides, March 2000, (ECB Working Paper No. 15), pdf 604 kB

Unemployment in Europe: Lisbon Special European Council March 22 23.Contribution of the Italian Government.

Welfare to work: an academic study by Boeri, Layard and Nickell that provides the background  Welfare-to-work and fight against long-term unemployment  File

OECD February 2000 Local Development and Job Creation Globalisation has become a key force of change in all OECD countries. It is making our economies more open, bringing new opportunities, new markets  and new wealth. But it also demands more rapid adjustment to change. The  accomplishment of strategic restructuring is often required, so that workers are  not displaced or excluded from the labour market and so that no localities are left to lag behind or decline. In the new economic environment, policy-makers must  help build dynamic and flexible regions and cities. They must assist the transition from individual closed local economic systems to a new, open global system.

IMF WORLD ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL SURVEYS: World Economic Outlook, Chapter IV: Chronic Unemployment in the Euro Area: Causes and Cures File 4

Cologne European Council (3 and 4 June 1999): Presidency conclusions discussing the European Employment Act ANNEX I Resolution of the European Council and report on the Employment Pact.

September 1999 Commission adopts Employment Guidelines for 2000  Commission makes recommendations on the implementation of Member States employment policies

OECD Standardised Unemployment Rates

Labour Market & Tax Policy in the EMU (Deutsch-Französisches Wirtschaftspolitisches Forum/ Forum Economique Franco-Allemand)

International labor statistics (Foreign labor statistics by the US BLS)

Myths and realities  of the US labor market: from the Economic report of the president 1999
Job displacement, tenure and the contingent work force p.121

Unemployment and real wages, a basic model by O Blanchard (1998)

Revisiting European Unemployment by O Blanchard (1998)

"The European Employment Problem", No. 616 by Assar Lindbeck Acrobat Format (PDF), Acrobat Format (PDF)

"Unemployment, Labour-Market Reform and Monetary Union", No. 639 by Lars Calmfors  Acrobat Format (PDF)

"Macroeconomic Policy, Wage Setting and Employment - What Difference Does the EMU Make?", No. 657 by Lars Calmfors. Acrobat Format (PDF). Acrobat Format (PDF)

"Monetary Union and Precautionary Labour-Market Reform", No. 659 by Lars Calmfors. Acrobat Format (PDF). Acrobat Format (PDF)

 Optimal Wage Indexation for a Monetary Union with Country Specific Shocks Leichter, Jules, UCSC Dept of Economics Working Paper, No. 400, June 1998.

Exchange rates and labor markets

Exchange Rates Do Matter: French Job Reallocation and Exchange Rate Turbulence, 1984-1992,Pierre Olivier Gourinchas (Princeton)

  "Employment Versus Wage Adjustment and the U.S. Dollar",  Jose Campa and Linda Goldberg, NBER working paper (November 1998).

 " Exchange Rates and Local Labor Markets", Linda Goldberg and Joseph Tracy, forthcoming, in Trade and Wages, edited by Robert Feenstra. (NBER and University of Chicago Press).

  "Exchange Rates and Employment Instability: Evidence from Matched CPS Data" ,  Linda Goldberg, Joseph Tracy and Stephanie Aaronson, forthcoming, American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings

Historical and international perspective

Capital Mobility and Labor by Dani Rodrik April 1998.  Draft paper prepared for the NBER workshop on Trade, Technology, Education, and the U.S. Labor Market, April 30-May 1, 1998.

"Keynesianism, Pennsylvania-Avenue Style: Some Economic Consequences of the 1946 Employment Act," J. Bradford De Long, Journal of Economic Perspectives 10:3 (Summer 1996), pp. 41-53.


Financial Markets Integration and Development in the Euro area

Alberto Cybo-Ottone, Carmine Di Noia, and Maurizio Murgia Recent Development in the Structure of Securities Markets  [Access article in PDF]  Comments and Discussion  FiguresTables 2000

 Group of Ten -- Report on Consolidation in the Financial Markets. January 2001

The euro and international capital  markets, Carsten Detken and Philipp Hartmann, April 2000, (ECB Working  Paper No. 19), pdf 2017 kB

The Stock-Exchange Industry: network effects, implicit mergers and corporate governance Di Noia 1999

Treasury Virtual Library: http://www.ustreas.gov/press/releases/archive.htm

Financial Stability Forum (FSF): http://www.FSForum.org/

 A large new European stock exchange unveiled on March 21 2000 by the Paris, Amsterdam and Brussels bourses will have a  stock market listing by the end of the year and has plans to expand into the London and US  markets. Articles from FT  The challenge of Europe's Bourses    Euronext plans expansion

Christian Noyer: The outlook for the euro area economy and its financial  markets,  EN   24 February 2000.

CHAPTER 3 of the June 1999 Issue and CHAPTER 2 of the December 1999 Issue by Bank of England: "Practical Issues Arising from the Euro." provides a nice overview of the euro markets and ECB operations.

Centre For European Policy Studies (CEPS): European Shadow Financial Regulatory Committee (ESFRC) Towards Safer Derivatives Markets

BIS  Quarterly Review: International Banking and Financial Market Developments November 1999

Stability, Asymmetry and Discontinuity: the Launch of European Monetary Union by Giancarlo Corsetti and Paolo Pesenti. Draft prepared for the September 1999 Brookings Panel, forthcoming on Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, December 1999.

The Impact of Monetary Union on Diversification Opportunities in European Capital Markets by Gary Santry and Simon Stevenson, University College Dublin, Ireland, 1999

Gikas Hardouvelis , Dimitrios Malliaropulos , Richard Priestley CEPR wp 2124. EMU and European Stock Market Integration

Richard Portes Global Financial Markets and Financial Stability: Europe’s RoleJune (November) 1999

European Capital Markets Jean Dermine, Professor of Banking and Finance; Director, INSEAD Center for International Financial Services, and Pierre Hillion, Professor of  Finance, INSEAD; CEPR Fellow (Oxford University Press 1999).


Jan Lemmen:
      "The Fundamental Determinants of Financial Integration in the European Union" with S.C.W. Eijffinger (1996)
     Integrating Financial Markets in the European Union,  Edward Elgar Publishing Limited 1998

Phil Davis  Pension Fund Reform and  European Financial Markets sp0107*  Nov 1998

Robert N. McCauley and William R. White: The Euro and European financial markets BIS wp No. 41, May 1997


European Banking

Value at risk models in finance, by Simone Manganelli and Robert F.Engle, August 2001, (ECB Working Paper No. 75)
pdf 500 kB

Christian Noyer: The euro and the banking sector Sept 2000

Is a euroland banking system already emerging? Tommaso Padoa-Schioppa:Vienna, 29 April 2000.

The future of banking supervision and the integration of financial markets by  Wim Duisenberg, May 2000

Press release: The European Central Bank  releases two reports prepared by the Banking Supervision Committee: "EU banks' income structure" pdf 533 kB and "Asset prices and banking stability" pdf 444 kB.

European Banking Distress and EMU: Institution and macroeconomic risk FileMichael Hutchinson

Why Do Banks Merge?, D. Focarelli, F. Panetta and C. Salleo, December 1999 pdf - 167 kB

Centre For European Policy Studies (CEPS): European Shadow Financial Regulatory Committee (ESFRC)  A New Role for Deposit Insurance in Europe  Dealing with Problem Banks in Europe

Bank Portfolios in Euroland by Claudia M. Buch and Susanne Lapp, Kiel Institute of World Economics, Germany. 1999

Sinikka Salo , E Philip Davis, Excess Capacity in EU and US Banking Sectors - Conceptual, Measurement and Policy Issues s p0105* August 1998

Money and Banking Statistics Sector Manual - Guidance for the statistical classification of customers, second edition, November 1999. pdf 862 kB

Sirkka Hämäläinen: Possible effects of EMU on the EU banking systems in the medium and long term, speech delivered at the General Assembly of the European Mortgage Federation, Brussels, 5 November 1999.

A cross-country comparison of market structures in European banking, by O. de  Bandt and E. P. Davis, September 1999, (ECB Working Paper No. 7), pdf 211 kB

 Quarterly Review: International Banking and Financial Market Developments by BIS August 1999

Single Market News - Action Plan for a Single Financial Market , Financial services: Commission outlines Action Plan for single financial market (11 May 1999)

DG XV:  Banks Securities Payment Systems

Banking supervision - Review of Basel Capital Accord complements review of EU bank capital Directives (3 June 1999)

ECB The effects of technology on the EU banking systems, [EN]  July 1999. pdf 272 kB

FBE (Banking Federation of the European Union) Home Page

The EBF paper on payment systems in the Euro zone

EURIBOR web site :  what is Euribor ? What is Eonia ?

Links to European banks on the www.

EMU and banking supervisionPadoa-Schioppa, Tommaso: EMU and banking supervision, Lecture at the London School of Economics,

ECB: Possible effects of EMU on the EU banking systems in the medium to long term. 409 kB. February 1999.

Legal Structure, Financial Structure and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism    by Stephen Cecchetti FEB 1999

https://www.dbresearch.com/content-de/pdf/emu-free/emu_59.pdf by Deutsche Bank on the effects of EMU on the Structure of European banking.

"The Future of European Banking" by Jean-Pierre Danthine, Francesco Giavazzi, Xavier Vives, Ernst-Ludwig von
 Thadden, February 1999 CEPR book

"Allow Banks To Fail!" Edgar Meister Member of the Directorate of the Deutsche Bundesbank Speech at a symposium hosted by the University of Frankfurt on February 1, 1999

White Paper on measuring the profitability of banking activities by the Bank of France

Impact of EMU on the banking structure in Europe Helmut Schieber, Member of the Directorate of the Deutsche  Bundesbank November 14 and 15, 1998

 The Role of Banks in Monetary Policy: A Survey with Implications for the European Monetary Union Kashyap, Anil and Jeremy Stein, " Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Sept/Oct 1997.

Dossiers / Euro by Strategic Road: plenty of links to Banking and financial associations

The Financial Services Authority (FSA) of the UK


Insurance and Pension funds

Check this site: Pensions and Social Insurance (PSI) at Birkbeck

Pensions Institute homepage at Birkbeck.  Pensions Institute: Discussion Papers  Pensions Institute: links to other web sites

Linkages between Pension Reform and Financial Sector Development (February, 1999) PDF

David Blake Financial System Requirements for Successful Pension Reform (January, 1999)

DG XV: Insurance ,   Supplementary PensionsConsumer Protection

The Crisis of Germany's Pension Insurance System and How It Can Be Resolved Hans Werner Sinn #7304 (PE)

New opportunities for insurance in the Single Market (18 May 1999) by Mario Monti

Towards a Single Market for Financial Services and Pension Funds: new opportunities for the City of London (12 May 1999)

Towards a Single Market for Pensions: the Next Steps (5 November 1998)

Pensions in the US: There is a new site that makes U.S. employer pension and welfare reports available to the public at no cost. The site, at freeERISA.com www.freeERISA.com, makes information available on the investments and structure of more than one million pension and health/welfare plans from U.S. employers.  Benefit plan financial information of employers of all sizes, from mom-and-pop operations to giant corporations, associations, and labor unions, can be viewed or downloaded from the new site.

DG XV


Business and the euro

Towards a unified European corporate governance? OECD Principles of Corporate Governance

UBS - Euro

Brussels urges accounting changes FT Feb 19, 99

HM Treasury recently launched an official euro site which provides information for businesses preparing for the euro.

The Association for the Monetary Union of Europe  founded in 1987 by European industrialists who agreed on the objectives of monetary stability and a single currency for the success of the single market. Check their [Euro News] , [Companies & the Euro] and [Services]. Also EURO sustainability report, 1998

The UK arm of the KMPG firm of management consultants has surveyed companies across Europe on the key strategic business issues presented by European Monetary Union.

Dossiers / Euro by Strategic Road: links to euro-pages by corporations

Exporter's Guide to the Euro by US exporters

Paribas International.Look for the newsletter "Euroleader" (only visible using the Internet Explorer browser).


Competitiveness

Nouriel Roubini on
Myths about Competitiveness: Are Countries like Corporations ?
Trade Deficits: Should We Care About Them ?



The External Value of The Euro
 The euro and the productivity puzzle An alternative interpretation by Alquist and Chinn 2001

 Why has the euro been so weak? by Guy Meredith 2001

 Competing currencies: the external value of the euro Deutsche Bank Research Euro pushed down by Eastern Europe?  Deutsche bank research 2001
 

Euro Area Balance of Payments

European Union balance of payments/international investment position statistical methods, 1 December 1999

European Union balance of payments/international investment position statistical methods, December 1999. pdf 3 MB

Capital Flows to Emerging Market Economies Institute of International Finance,IIF, September 1999

Euro area balance of payments key items
Monthly developments July 1999, 22 September 1999.
Monthly developments May 1999, 26 July 1999.
Euro area balance of payments key items by the ECB April 30 1999


A US perspective on euro

The Euro: Implications for the United States. Answers to key questions US General Accounting Office, March 2000

The European Union (EU) in the US

Greenspan urges Europe on world growth FT Feb 25
US steps up pressure on euro-zone FT Feb 20 99

  Economic Report of the President 1999 (the last chapter includes a discussion of the implication of the euro for the dollar as well as the US official position on the birth of the European currency).

 A US Perspective on Economic and Monetary Union in Europe by W.J. McDonough, president, NYFed, November 17, 1997

 US Embassy Paris: Economics - EMU EURO A source of selected official statements about the euro. See also
 USIS Paris: Economics and Trade Issues

  "Does European Unemployment Prop Up American Wages? " by Donal Davis (harvard), National Labor Markets and Global Trade, American Economic Review, June 1998. PDF of the Paper

  The Marshall Plan (.pdf) By B DeLong and B Eichengreen

 Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago-Euro Resource Page


The euro and the reform of the International Financial Architecture

  Managing the International Monetary System -- Address by Stanley Fischer July 2000

Check the homepage by Nouriel Roubini "What caused the Asian currency and financial crisis?"

The impact of the euro on money and bond markets, by Javier Santillán, Marc Bayle and Christian Thygesen, July 2000, (ECB Occasional Paper No. 1), (pdf  486 kB). pdf 486 kB

The ECB's monetary policy in the context of globalisation Otmar Issing, speech at the conference "Weltachsen", organised by the Center for European Integration Studies, the Center for Development Research and federal city of Bonn, 11 November 1999.

Globally liberalised capital markets and the conduct of monetary policy Christian Noyer: Introductory statement at the Fifth International Financial and Economic Forum: "Impact of globally liberalised capital markets", organised by IFW, Vienna, 11 November 1999.

Hoover Institution Public Policy Inquiry: International Monetary Fund

International Institutions for Reducing Global Financial Instability Kenneth Rogoff #7265 (IFM)

IMF Guide to Progress in Strengthening the Architecture of the International Financial System - Factsheet

The International Lender of Last Resort: How Large Is Large Enough? C. Wyplosz and O. Jeanne. The theoretical and practical reasons why no international financial institution is able to do lending in last resort.

IFM on Hedge Funds (Eichengreen and Mathieson)

Project on International Financial Architecture, by Barry Eichengreen, University of California, Berkeley

  A Small Contribution to the New International Financial Architecture by Willem H. Buiter and Anne C.Siber

EMU and the launch of the euro Padoa-Schioppa, Tommaso: EMU and the launch of the euro, Beijing, 2 March 1999.

The International Role of the Euro and the ESCB’s Monetary Policy Wim Duisenberg, Frankfurt, 20 November 1998.

The euro as a stabiliser in the international economic system Prof. Dr. Dr. h.c. Hans Tietmeyer, President of the Deutsche Bundesbank. Speech given at the conference of the Luxembourg Institute for European and International Studies and the Pierre Werner Foundation in Luxembourg on December 4, 1998

HOW WILL EUROPEAN MONETARY UNION CHANGE THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL ARCHITECTURE? Bernard Connolly, Executive Director and Chief Economist,  AIG International,

THE COMING OF THE EURO: INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND GLOBAL POLITICS (conference paper by Alan A. Walters, AIG Trading Group, Inc., pdf)  Cato Institute, Oct 22 1998

An International Role for the Euro? by C Wyplosz

The Global Economic Effects of the Japanese Crisis IIE Working Paper 98-6

The IMF and the transparency dilemma by Giancarlo Corsetti

Reports on the international financial architecture: Reports of the working groups on 1) Transparency and Accountability; 2) Strengthening Financial Systems; 3) International Financial Crises October 1998

University of Toronto G8 Information Centre

Rethinking the World Economy by Dani Rodrik

The politics of International Economic Relations: a bibliography

Link to the homepage: "WHAT CAUSED THE ASIAN CURRENCY AND FINANCIAL CRISIS?" by Nouriel Roubini (NYU). Including work by Giancarlo Corsetti Paolo Pesenti and Nouriel Roubini


 Paul Krugman: Crying With Argentina NYTimes

 Nouriel Roubini: Should Argentina Dollarize or Float? The Pros and Cons of Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes and their Implications for Domestic and Foreign Debt Restructuring/Reduction

 Nouriel Roubini: Why should the foreign creditors of Argentina take a greater hit/haircut than the domestic ones: On the economic logic, efficiency, fairness and legality of "discriminating" between domestic and foreign debt in sovereign debt restructurings


Euro and international portfolio diversification

The impact of the euro on money and bond markets, by Javier Santillán, Marc Bayle and Christian Thygesen, July 2000, (ECB Occasional Paper No. 1), (pdf  486 kB). pdf 486 kB

The Impact of Monetary Union on Diversification Opportunities in European Capital Markets by Gary Santry and Simon Stevenson, University College Dublin, Ireland

Bank Portfolios in Euroland  by Claudia M. Buch and Susanne Lapp, Kiel Institute of World Economics, Germany

Wayne E. Ferson, Campbell R. Harvey -- "Economic, Financial, and Fundamental Global Risk In and Out of the EMU" NBER WP 6967, March 1999

 Quarterly Review: International Banking and Financial Market Developments BIS August 1999



 
Financial Contagion

Corsetti Pericoli and Sbracia Some Contagion, Mostly interdependence: more pittfalls in tests of financial contagion 2000
 

Euro and illegal financial flows

 Decision of the European Central Bank on fraud prevention Oct. 7 1999

OECD Policy brief  Money Laundering - (in pdf format - 99 kb) July 1999

  Money laundering: Commission proposes to extend scope of EU Directive (14 July 1999)

OECD FATF Reports-Financial Action Task Force on Money Laundering

Kenneth Rogoff: "Foreign and Underground Demand for Euro Notes: Blessing or Curse?" Economic Policy 26, April 1998, 263-303.
 


The impact of the euro on Eastern Europe, Asia, Latin America, Africa

ECB Review of the International Role of the euro pdf 679 kB September 2001

Christian Noyer: The international impact of the euro speech delivered by the Vice-President during his visit to the United States in January 2000.

 The Euro as a Monetary Anchor in the CEECs by Agnès Bénassy-Quéré, University of Lille II, and Amina Lahrèche-Révil, University of Évry, France 1999

Getting Fit for the EU: A Currency Board for Poland? by Andreas Freytag, Institut für Wirtschaftspolitik, Köln, Germany, 1999

 Eastern Europe and the Euro Area (with some Lessons from Recent Asian Experience) by Antonin Rusek, Susquehanna University, USA, 1999

EMU, Euro, and EU-Membership: An Evaluation from the Turkish Macroeconomic Perspective by Aykut Kibritcioglu, Ankara University, Turkey, 1999

Is Asia an Optimum Currency Area ? "Shocking" Aspects of Output Fluctuations in East Asia by  Hazel Yuen

The euro and Latin America: Implications of the Euro for Latin America’s Financial and Banking Systems by Eduardo Levy Yeyati and Federico Sturzenegger

The Euro and Latin America III: Is EMU a Blueprint for Mercosur? by Eduardo Levy Yeyati and Federico Sturzenegger

Finance & Development, June 1999 - The Euro and Latin America

Rudy Dornbusch The Euro: Implications for Latin America March 1998

EMU and the Developing Countries by Benjamin J. Cohen wp file

A homepage prepared by Aykut Kibritcioglu with a section on the international impactof the euro.

Barry Eichengreen "Does Mercosur Need a Single Currency?"  (text) October 1998.

Carstens Agustín y Werner Alejandro "Mexico´s Montary Policy Framework Under a Floating Exchange Rate Regime." May 1999.

Asian Countries Can’t Ignore The Euro EuroAsia by Yonghao Pu  WSJ 1998

The impact of the euro on Asia by Ramkishen Rajan, Lowe Institute of Political Economy, CA

The UngainlyEMU and the Flailing Geese  NIRA (National Institute for Research Advancement) Review, by Manuel F. Montes is a Senior Fellow at the Institute for Southeast Asian Studies, in Singapore, where he is on leave from his position as a Senior Fellow at the East-West Center in Honolulu.



Costs and benefits of euro

Corsetti and Pesenti Self-validating optimum currency crises 2002

International Economics Working Paper 9208: Costs and Benefits of EMU by Wilfried Fuhrmann, University of Potsdam

Center for Economic Research Discussion Paper: Designing Fiscal and Monetary Institutions for a European Monetary Union

"The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria" by J Frankel and A Rose PDF File

 The Costs/Benefits of a Common Monetary Policy in France and Germany and Possible Lessons for Monetary Union Abstract © Jacques Mélitz and Axel A. Weber


Asymmetric shocks and asymmetries in EMU

Michael Funke     Macroeconomic Shocks in Euroland vs the UK: Supply, Demand, or Nominal? [Paper]

Wim Duisenberg Are different price developments in the euro area a cause for concern? Sept 2000

A homepage with US regional data

"Aggregate Risk Sharing Across US States and Across European Countries" pdf  by Marco del Negro
"Risk Sharing Across US States and European Countries: An Empirical Puzzle." pdf by Marco del Negro
"Asymmetric Shocks Across US States and Across European Countries. An 'Identified' Factor Analysis Model" pdf by Marco del Negro

Divergences in the euro area: a cause of concerns? by N Björksten and M Syrjanen, Working Paper of the Bank of Finland

Sebnem Kalemi-Ozcan, Bent Sorensen, and Oved Yosha "Risk-Sharing and Specialization:Regional and International Evidence"  PDF file

"Monetary Union, Asymmetric Productivity Shocks and Fiscal Insurance: an Analytical Discussion" by Ken Kletzer June 1998. PDF

Do trade and technology reduce asymmetries? Evidence from manufacturing industries in the EU. by Raffaele Pace and Riccardo Rovelli, Feb. 1998 PDF version

 Lessons from Intranational Economics for International Economics A 1999 conference organized by the Studienzentrum Gerzensee, Switzerland
 


Should the UK join?

Michael Funke     Macroeconomic Shocks in Euroland vs the UK: Supply, Demand, or Nominal? [Paper]

International Herald Tribune, Paris, Wednesday, February 23, 2000: Shifting Tactics, Blair Challenges EU to Make Euro a Better Deal

Niels Thygesen "EMU, Britain and Other Outsiders" sp0102 May 1998

Debate
 "The Clear Case for UK Membership in EMU" by Willem Buiter
Britain and EMU by Willem Buiter

Search FT for the following:
Lionel Barber: EMU: Narrowing the gap (FT Feb 18, 1999) On the role of "economic convergence" between the UK and European economies -- ALAN WALTERS: The virtues of being out FT Feb 4 1999 -- ADAIR TURNER (CBI): The case for joining Emu Sept 1998

From FT 1997:
Robert Peston: Note of confusion on single currency in the UK
Lionel Barber: The cost of UK's dithering
UK: Government unity strained by Emu

Sources

European Movement The European Movement is Britain’s leading pro-European oorganisation. It is leading the campaign for a yes vote in the forthcoming referendum on joining the European single currency.

The Association for the Monetary Union of Europe is a lobbying group for the establishment of monetary union backed by many European companies. Its web site has a monthly online EMU newsletter.

Keele Critical European Group

UK Citizens Online Democracy is running an EMU and Britain debate. It has a set of background papers and resources.


Political economy of euro

Research Group on the political economy of European Integration. Berkeley 99

The Political Economy of French Economic Policy and the Transition to EMU de Boissieu, C. and J. Pisani-Ferry, Working Paper, CEPII, Paris, October 1995.

Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy Alesina, Roubini with Cohen, Mit press 1998

"The Political Economy of European Exchange Rates: An Empirical Assessment" by J Frieden August 1998

The Political Economy Working Paper Archive. University of Michigan

Political Science Research Resources

The politics of International Economic Relations: a bibliography


Economic Convergence in Europe

Wim Duisenberg: Economic divergences in the euro area: the consequences for economic policies, speech delivered at 'Nieuwspoort' in The  Hague, the Netherlands, 5 November 1999. EN

 From the ERM to the euro: new evidence on economic and policy convergence among EU countries, (pdf 383 kB), by I. Angeloni and L. Dedola, May 1999, (ECB working paper no 4). pdf 383 kB

 Divergences in the euro area: a cause of concerns? by N Björksten and M Syrjanen, Working Paper of the Bank of Finland

How Regions Converge Francesco Caselli e John Coleman. University of Chicago. September 1998.

Data set on European Regions by X Sala-i-martin.
Check also  Sala-i-Martin ' s Data Sets including United States  Japanese Prefectures.
Publications by Sala-i-Martin in the Reference List



Conferences
(to conference organizers: please send me an email with information you want to disseminate through this homepage)

  EUN- NUE Calendrier- Index List of events tied to European integration: colloquia, conferences,  seminars.

A CFS conference in July: Liquidity Risk: Rethinking Risk Management Professur für Wirtschaftstheorie

THE EMU AND THE OUTSIDE WORLD - ETH Zurich December 1999

Conference on: “Fiscal Policy and Fiscal Federalism in the EMU”at UCLA

IMF  Economic Forum -- Regional Unemployment in Europe: Implications for EMU OCT 4 1999

World Wide European Integration Events Calendar Harvard University --- List of Events

IGier bocconi: New frontiers in economic policy: unsolved issues after the euro ( Le Nuove Frontiere della Politica Economica 6 "I nodi irrisolti dopo l'Euro" ) Rome June 7th 1999.

IfK-Center for Financial Studies Research Conference on The ECB and Its Watchers, Frankfurt, June 1999

Bundesbank conference on The Monetary Transmission Process: Recent Developments and Lessons for Europe, Frankfurt, March 26-27, 1999


The implications of Kosovo for the euro

  Economic Prospects for the Countries of Southeast Europe in the Aftermath of the Kosovo Crisis IMF

  The EU and Kosovo

  Kosovo Crisis: European Commission Proposes Stabilization and Association Process for Countries of South-East Europe (5/26)

  The Economic Consequences of the Kosovo Crisis by IMF April 1999
 The International Community  Reponse


On the Asian crisis and proposals to reform the international financial architecture: check the homepage by Nouriel Roubini
"What caused the Asian currency and financial crisis?"


This homepage  has been chosen as a selection for the The Scout Report - January 7, 2000  biweekly collection of useful Internet sites for researchers, educators, and students in business and economics
This page was created in February 1999. Since Feb 2000, the average number of hits has been 3500 per week (16500 per month), with very little variation.The total number of hits in the period February 2000- May 2001 is 250,808.

Disclaimer:
This web site has been created and mantained by Giancarlo Corsetti. It provides links to news, analysis and opinions regarding the European Monetary Union from many available sources on the Internet. The author of this web site and the institutions to which he is affiliated are not responsible for the content of the texts that are accessible through this page.



Comments? Suggestions? Please write me:
corsetti@yale.edu


Page updated: 28/02/04