This year's Yves Mény lecture discusses the plausibility of five different paths of institutional development of the European Union: deepening integration towards a federal state, a differentiated and flexible union, covert integration, a segmented political order and disintegration/dissolution.
Systematically varying either the preferences of the main actors or the macro conditions, i.e. decision-making rules, and external shocks, the analysis comes to the conclusion that a differentiated and flexible union, covert integration and a segmented order are the most plausible further paths. It discusses the scope conditions of these paths and how different crises may lead to specific paths of institutional change. It concludes by considering the structural overall effects on the European polity.
The Lecture is in person only and a recording will be made available online afterwards.
The event will be followed by drinks.