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Research project

Prognostication, fortune, and risk: How early modern Europeans navigated material fortunes through almanacs and astrological consultations

This project has received funding via the EUI ESR call 2025, dedicated to Early Stage Researchers, with the contribution of the EUI Widening Europe Programme. The EUI Widening Europe Programme initiative, backed by contributions from the European Union and EUI Contracting States, is designed to strengthen internationalisation, competitiveness, and quality in research in Widening countries, and thus foster a more cohesive European Higher Education and Research area.

This collaborative research examines how early modern Europeans across social strata managed material risk and fortune through prognostication between 1600-1800. By analysing almanacs and astrological consultations from the historically overlooked regions of the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth and Portugal, this project challenges dominant narratives of risk management that have traditionally focused on western Europe. Through systematic examination of sources in the archives of Gdańsk, Vilnius, and Lisbon, we will investigate how people made decisions about maritime trade, agriculture, and resource extraction, revealing how local practices of prognostication were shaped by culture-specific concepts of risk and fortune.

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