Trade Liberalization, Development, and Political Violence
My project explores the micro-foundations of the trade-conflict nexus. I focus on the reduction of tariffs on agricultural imports from South countries to North countries. I combine variation in agricultural tariffs over time with differences in crop suitability across 9km×9km cells within South countries. I test if, as North-South trade liberalization is implemented, the levels of political violence and instability change differentially in those cells that are more suitable to produce liberalized crops. My analysis covers 27 South countries and all their PTAs signed with major North trading entities between 1995 and 2018.