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Beliefs About Political News in the Run-up to an Election

EUI Lecture

Add to calendar 2024-05-16 11:00 2024-05-16 12:15 Europe/Rome Beliefs About Political News in the Run-up to an Election Conference Room Villa La Fonte YYYY-MM-DD


16 May 2024

11:00 - 12:15 CEST


Conference Room

Villa La Fonte

This lecture features a presentation by Andrea Prat (Columbia University).
We use a large-scale news knowledge survey conducted just before the 2020 US presidential election, alongside monthly survey data, to explore how partisan differences in political news beliefs evolve. We exploit questions repeated in multiple surveys to identify changes in beliefs about the same news stories as the election approaches. Our findings indicate that partisan bias intensifies two to threefold during election periods. Within a framework of motivated beliefs, this change in partisan bias is predominantly driven by an amplification of the partisan identity effect, rather than differences in partisan recall. We also present findings from a counterfactual analysis that assesses the impact of a hypothetical targeted misinformation campaign during and outside of elections.
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