Armed groups in Brazil and subnational state capacity in Mexico

• Department of Political and Social Sciences

In this session, we will discuss work in progress by two scholars of Latin American politics who are employing Bayesian Reasoning.

'The Warrior’s Paradox: How Police Form Armed Groups in Rio de Janeiro' by Ana Paula Pelligrino, Gerhard Casper Postdoctoral Fellow at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law, Stanford University.

'Inter-provincial Rivalry and Subnational Variations in State Capacity after the Mexican Revolution' by Manuel Cabal Lopez, Assistant Professor at the University of Leiden.

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