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Dynamic Contracting Theory and Applications (ECO-AD-DYNAMICCO)

ECO-AD-DYNAMICCO


Department ECO
Course category ECO Advanced courses
Course type Course
Academic year 2026-2027
Term BLOCK 3
Credits .5 (EUI Economics Department)
Professors
  • Gerard Maideu-Morera (Max Weber Fellow)
Contact Aleksic, Ognjen
Sessions
Enrolment info 27/08/2026 - 10/02/2027

Description

Dynamic incentive problems show up repeatedly in macroeconomics. Examples include dynamic public finance questions about the design of unemployment insurance, disability insurance, or life-cycle income and savings taxation; lending relationships between investors and entrepreneurs; sovereign borrowing; or dynamic wage contracts in firms. Unlike complete-markets models or standard (exogenously) incomplete markets models (e.g., risk-free bond + exogenous borrowing limit), in these problems markets are endogenously incomplete in that the extent of risk sharing is determined endogenously by information or enforcement frictions (Golosov et al., 2016). The essential insight is that these problems can be made recursive by adding appropriate "forward looking" state variables (Ljungqvist and Sargent, 2018)— e.g., a promise to deliver some utility to an agent in the future.

The objectives of the course are: (i) to understand how different frictions (limited commitment, moral hazard and private information) shape risk sharing; (ii) to learn how to formulate and analyze these problems recursively, and provide a brief introduction to numerical methods; (iii) to provide a broad overview of the many applications. Ideally, the course will be of interest to both macro and theory students. Below is a tentative outline.

Lecture 1. Introduction and limited commitment
• Overview; exogenously vs endogenously incomplete markets.
• Limited commitment (Thomas and Worrall, 1988) and discussion of applications

Lecture 2. Dynamic moral hazard
• Dynamic moral hazard with an application to optimal unemployment insurance (Spear and Srivastava, 1987)
• Somediscussion on the hidden savings problem

Lecture 3. Private information and introduction to dynamic public finance
• Dynamic insurance with private information (Thomas and Worrall, 1990; Atkeson and Lucas Jr, 1992); Long-run immiseration
• Introduction to new dynamic public finance (NDPF): (i) Mirrleesian taxation, (ii) adding dynamics, (iii) Inverse Euler Equation, (iv) Implications of persistent private information
Lecture 4. Continue NDPF and introduction to computational methods
• Continue NDPF
• Discussion of computational challenges and introduce the recursive Lagrangian method (Marcet and Marimon, 2019). The issues and methods presented here apply to more problems beyond the dynamic contract ones studied in the course, such as Ramsey optimal policy
problems. 

Lecture 5. Cover some applications based on interests and/or student presentations
Ideally, we will focus more quantitative papers that try to bring these methods closer to data. Some topics/papers that could be covered (to be expanded):
• Sovereigndebt/International risk sharing: KehoeandPerri(2002), Aguiaretal. (2009), Dovis (2019), Abrahám et al. (2025)
• Quantitative macro-labor: Schaal (2017), Balke and Lamadon (2022), Souchier (2022)
• Further public finance topics (including unemployment and disability insurance): Golosov
and Tsyvinski (2006)
• Development: Ligon et al. (2002), Morten (2019)
• Corporatefinance/firmdynamics/entrepreneurship/CEOcompensation: ClementiandHopenhayn (2006), DeMarzo and Sannikov (2006), Edmans et al. (2012)
• Asset pricing: Kehoe and Levine (1993), Alvarez and Jermann (2000), Alvarez and Jermann (2001)

References
ABRAHÁM, A., CARCELES-POVEDA, E., LIU, Y. and MARIMON, R. (2025). On the optimal design
of a financial stability fund. Review of Economic Studies, p. rdaf076.
AGUIAR, M., AMADOR, M.andGOPINATH, G.(2009).Investmentcyclesandsovereigndebtover
hang. The Review of economic studies, 76 (1), 1–31.
ALVAREZ, F. and JERMANN, U. J. (2000). Efficiency, equilibrium, and asset pricing with risk of
default. Econometrica, 68 (4), 775–797.
— and —(2001). Quantitative asset pricing implications of endogenous solvency constraints. The
Review of Financial Studies, 14 (4), 1117–1151.
ATKESON, A. and LUCAS JR, R. E. (1992). On efficient distribution with private information. The
Review of Economic Studies, 59 (3), 427–453.
BALKE, N. and LAMADON, T. (2022). Productivity shocks, long-term contracts, and earnings dy
namics. American Economic Review, 112 (7), 2139–2177.
CLEMENTI, G. L. and HOPENHAYN, H. A. (2006). A Theory of Financing Constraints and Firm
Dynamics. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 121 (1), 229–265.
DEMARZO, P. M. and SANNIKOV, Y. (2006). Optimal security design and dynamic capital struc
ture in a continuous-time agency model. The Journal of Finance, 61 (6), 2681–2724.
DOVIS, A. (2019). Efficient sovereign default. The Review of Economic Studies, 86 (1), 282–312.
EDMANS, A., GABAIX, X., SADZIK, T. and SANNIKOV, Y. (2012). Dynamic ceo compensation. The
Journal of Finance, 67 (5), 1603–1647.
GOLOSOV, M. and TSYVINSKI, A. (2006). Designing optimal disability insurance: A case for asset
testing. Journal of political Economy, 114 (2), 257–279.
—, —and WERQUIN, N. (2016). Recursive contracts and endogenously incomplete markets. In
Handbook of Macroeconomics, vol. 2, Elsevier, pp. 725–841.
KEHOE, P. J. and PERRI, F. (2002). International business cycles with endogenous incomplete mar
kets. Econometrica, 70 (3), 907–928.
KEHOE, T. J. and LEVINE, D. K. (1993). Debt-constrained asset markets. The Review of Economic
Studies, 60 (4), 865–888.
LIGON, E., THOMAS, J. P. and WORRALL, T. (2002). Informal insurance arrangements with lim
ited commitment: Theory and evidence from village economies. The Review of Economic Studies,
69 (1), 209–244.
LJUNGQVIST, L. and SARGENT, T. J. (2018). Recursive Macroeconomic Theory. Cambridge, MA: MIT
Press, 4th edn.
MARCET, A. and MARIMON, R. (2019). Recursive contracts. Econometrica, 87 (5), 1589–1631.
MORTEN, M. (2019). Temporary migration and endogenous risk sharing in village india. Journal
of Political Economy, 127 (1), 1–46.
SCHAAL, E. (2017). Uncertainty and unemployment. Econometrica, 85 (6), 1675–1721.
SOUCHIER, M. (2022). The pass-through of productivity shocks to wages and the cyclical competition for
workers. Tech. rep., Working Paper.
SPEAR, S. E. and SRIVASTAVA, S. (1987). On repeated moral hazard with discounting. The Review
of Economic Studies, 54 (4), 599–617.
THOMAS, J. and WORRALL, T. (1988). Self-enforcing wage contracts. The Review of Economic Stud
ies, 55 (4), 541–554.
— and — (1990). Income fluctuation and asymmetric information: An example of a repeated
principal-agent problem. Journal of Economic Theory, 51 (2), 367–390.

ENROL FOR THIS COURSE

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