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Nationality problems and war

Revisiting the Macedonian syndrome

Add to calendar 2022-02-16 12:30 2022-02-16 14:00 Europe/Rome Nationality problems and war Zoom Online YYYY-MM-DD


16 February 2022

12:30 - 14:00 CET




Lars-Erik Cederman will present a paper co-authored with Yannick Pengl, Dennis Atzenhofer, and Luc Girardin

Half a century ago Myron Weiner introduced a descriptive model labeled the "Macedonian Syndrome'' that specifies how nationalist politics in irredentist actor constellations result in both civil and interstate conflict. Subsequent research, however, has tended to treat these types of conflict separately. The authors propose an integrated framework that links these categories to specific violations of nationalist principles. Specifically, the they show that groups that are exposed to alien rule are more likely to rebel, and groups that divided tend to trigger interstate disputes. Furthermore, as expected by Weiner's study, previous ethno-nationalist rebellion raise the risk of subsequent interstate conflict, and conversely, such events pave the way for rebellion. Their findings indicate that Weiner's model explains conflict patterns beyond its original realm of application.


Lars-Erik Cederman (ETH Zentrum)

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