Workshop

Making Policies Matter: Voter Responses to Campaign Promises

Anti-Corruption MWP Multidisciplinary Research Workshop

Add to calendar 2021-10-14 13:30 2021-10-14 19:00 Europe/Rome Making Policies Matter: Voter Responses to Campaign Promises Online via Zoom YYYY-MM-DD
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When

14 October 2021

13:30 - 19:00 Italian time

Where

Online

via Zoom

In the framework of the Anti-Corruption MWP Multidisciplinary Research Workshop, this session presents Cesi Cruz (UCLA) and Julien Labonne (Oxford University, Blavatnik School of Government) on “Making Policies Matter: Voter Responses to Campaign Promises.”

The EUI Anti-Corruption MWP Multidisciplinary Research Workshop aims at discussing cutting edge research on the topics of corruption measurement, prevention, displacement, and reduction. Policy-oriented research is a central focus of the workshop. The workshop format includes one hour long remote seminars. Where the research methodology employed offers itself a training opportunity, one hour long practical sessions are also be organised.

Abstract:

Can campaign promises change voter behavior, even where clientelism and vote buying are pervasive? We elicit multidimensional campaign promises from political candidates in consecutive mayoral elections in the Philippines. Voters who are randomly informed about these promises rationally update their beliefs about candidates, along both policy and valence dimensions. Those who receive information about current promises are more likely to vote for candidates with policy promises closest to their own preferences. Those informed about current and past campaign promises reward incumbents who fulfilled their past promises; they perceive them to be more honest and competent. However, voters with clientelist ties to candidates respond weakly to campaign promises. A structural model allows us to disentangle information effects on beliefs and preferences by comparing actual incumbent vote shares with shares in counterfactual elections: both effects are substantial. Even in a clientelist democracy, counterfactual incumbent vote shares deviate more from actual shares when policy and valence play no role in campaigning than when vote-buying plays no role. Finally, a cost benefit analysis reveals that vote-buying is nevertheless more effective than information campaigns, explaining why candidates do not use them.

The Workshop Session is organised in two moments:

  • At lunchtime, 13:30-15:00, Julien Labonne (Oxford) will present the paper Making Policies Matter: Voter Responses to Campaign Promises .
  • In the afternoon, 17:30-19:00, Cezi Cruz (UCLA) will give a practical session How to conduct field experiments in difficult political settings (see datails and requirements below).

Practical session: Field experiments in difficult political settings

N.B. To take part in the practica session, the following readings are required:

List, John A. 2011. "Why Economists Should Conduct Field Experiments and 14 Tips for Pulling One Off ." Journal of Economic Perspectives 25 (3). Research Methods Knowledge Base by William Trochim (2001). Chapter 7. Manuscript available online.

The Zoom link will be shared after registration.

Speaker(s):

Julien Labonne (Oxford University, Blavatnik School of Government)

Cesi Cruz (UCLA)

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